Here's what we could hear and how it would impact the debt and equity markets.
TIPS just don't have the volatility to produce a big payoff, either in the breakeven or the resulting price action.
Wednesday's FOMC minutes convince me that the central bank is becoming less strict about preventing inflation.
From the Fed's perspective, wage growth doesn't matter anymore.
The economy has slowed from its mid-2018 pace, but it is now stable at this slower pace.
When you hear someone say that a curve inversion 'predicts' a recession, what it really means is that bond traders are 'predicting' a Fed rate cut.
All this dot plot tells us is that there is a large majority within the Fed that favors staying on hold.
Look no further than Europe for why the Fed has make this shift.
The 20,000 payroll gain is very suspect. I'm watching, but I want to see confirming evidence.
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