What seem like very small changes in risk perception lead to relatively large changes in bond prices.
There is a great trading lesson in Wednesday's market move.
The president's attempts to intimidate Jerome Powell probably won't impact Fed policy, with one possible exception.
I cannot emphasize enough how much the Fed values their inflation credibility.
Longer-term interest rates, such as the 10-year Treasury, are basically a function of three things.
Where the Fed stands, what to expect over the next few meetings, and what the market may not be pricing in yet.
There are 3 ways to position for more Fed hikes in 2019-2020 than the market has priced in.
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