Look no further than Europe for why the Fed has make this shift.
The 20,000 payroll gain is very suspect. I'm watching, but I want to see confirming evidence.
Economic signs point to slower growth, not a recession, in 2019.
Let's take a look at what each market is telling us.
The minutes certainly read like the Fed is more worried about the economy than just what the data suggests.
Price action and fundamental conditions show the limits on how high rates can rise.
How do we invest for a probable slowdown but perhaps a mild one?
For those fearing a recession was developing, it doesn't seem to be the case.
There is strong precedent for aggressive rate cuts once the Fed gets started.
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