As the bull market sets its sights on its tenth year, companies are finally starting to spend more.
Throughout this bull market, capex has remained a "missing link," said BofA/Merrill Lynch analysts in a Jan. 2 note. But now, S&P 500 capex guidance is well above its historical average and optimism abounds.
Companies are planning to spend more, analysts said. The three-month ratio of above -- versus below -- consensus capex guidance is at 1.74. While that's slightly lower than last month's 1.85 ratio reading, it remains near its highest level in more than three years.
"Capex has been a missing link during this bull market, and a pickup in demand, clarity on tax policy and signs of tighter capacity could unleash a pickup from low levels," Merrill Lynch said.
Aside from capex, firm management remains more optimistic than analysts on earnings. The three-month ratio of above -- versus below -- consensus earnings guidance is near a seven-year high at 1.22, up from 1.15 and double its historical average of 0.64, analysts wrote.
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