Today's Water-Logged And Getting Wetter Stock: Mondelez International (MDLZ)
Editor's Note: Any reference to TheStreet Ratings and its underlying recommendation does not reflect the opinion of TheStreet, Inc. or any of its contributors including Jim Cramer or Stephanie Link.
Trade-Ideas LLC identified
(
) as a "water-logged and getting wetter" (weak stocks crossing below support with today's range greater than 200%) candidate. In addition to specific proprietary factors, Trade-Ideas identified Mondelez International as such a stock due to the following factors:
- MDLZ has an average dollar-volume (as measured by average daily share volume multiplied by share price) of $322.1 million.
- MDLZ has traded 4.3 million shares today.
- MDLZ traded in a range 237.2% of the normal price range with a price range of $0.88.
- MDLZ traded below its daily resistance level (quality: 24 days, meaning that the stock is crossing a resistance level set by the last 24 calendar days. The resistance price is defined by the Price - $0.01 at the time of the signal).
Stocks matching the 'Water-Logged and Getting Wetter' criteria are worthwhile stocks to watch for a variety of factors including historical back testing and volatility. Trade-Ideas targets these opportunities because the stock is exhibiting an unusual behavior while displaying negative price action. In this case, the stock crossed an important inflection point; namely, "support" while at the same time the range of the stock's movement in price is twice its normal size. This large range foreshadows a possible continuation as the stock moves lower.
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More details on MDLZ:
Mondelez International, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets snack food and beverage products worldwide. The stock currently has a dividend yield of 1.6%. MDLZ has a PE ratio of 28.5. Currently there are 11 analysts that rate Mondelez International a buy, no analysts rate it a sell, and 3 rate it a hold.
The average volume for Mondelez International has been 8.7 million shares per day over the past 30 days. Mondelez International has a market cap of $60.1 billion and is part of the consumer goods sector and food & beverage industry. The stock has a beta of 1.23 and a short float of 0.6% with 1.08 days to cover. Shares are up 0.5% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Thursday.
Analysis:
rates Mondelez International as a
. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures, expanding profit margins and growth in earnings per share. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including deteriorating net income and weak operating cash flow.
Highlights from the ratings report include:
- The debt-to-equity ratio is somewhat low, currently at 0.60, and is less than that of the industry average, implying that there has been a relatively successful effort in the management of debt levels. Even though the company has a strong debt-to-equity ratio, the quick ratio of 0.46 is very weak and demonstrates a lack of ability to pay short-term obligations.
- 38.06% is the gross profit margin for MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC which we consider to be strong. Regardless of MDLZ's high profit margin, it has managed to decrease from the same period last year. Despite the mixed results of the gross profit margin, the net profit margin of 5.66% trails the industry average.
- MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC reported significant earnings per share improvement in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. Stable earnings per share over the past year indicate the company has sound management over its earnings and share float. However, the consensus estimates suggest that there will be an upward trend in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL INC reported lower earnings of $1.27 versus $1.28 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($1.73 versus $1.27).
- Net operating cash flow has significantly decreased to $2,413.00 million or 53.70% when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, when comparing the cash generation rate to the industry average, the firm's growth is significantly lower.
- The company, on the basis of change in net income from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500 and the Food Products industry. The net income has significantly decreased by 71.7% when compared to the same quarter one year ago, falling from $1,766.00 million to $500.00 million.
- You can view the full Mondelez International Ratings Report.
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