Ciena (CIEN) Shows Signs Of Being Water-Logged And Getting Wetter
Editor's Note: Any reference to TheStreet Ratings and its underlying recommendation does not reflect the opinion of TheStreet, Inc. or any of its contributors including Jim Cramer or Stephanie Link.
Trade-Ideas LLC identified
(
) as a "water-logged and getting wetter" (weak stocks crossing below support with today's range greater than 200%) candidate. In addition to specific proprietary factors, Trade-Ideas identified Ciena as such a stock due to the following factors:
- CIEN has an average dollar-volume (as measured by average daily share volume multiplied by share price) of $50.8 million.
- CIEN has traded 1.1 million shares today.
- CIEN traded in a range 310.3% of the normal price range with a price range of $1.25.
- CIEN traded below its daily resistance level (quality: 15 days, meaning that the stock is crossing a resistance level set by the last 15 calendar days. The resistance price is defined by the Price - $0.01 at the time of the signal).
Stocks matching the 'Water-Logged and Getting Wetter' criteria are worthwhile stocks to watch for a variety of factors including historical back testing and volatility. Trade-Ideas targets these opportunities because the stock is exhibiting an unusual behavior while displaying negative price action. In this case, the stock crossed an important inflection point; namely, "support" while at the same time the range of the stock's movement in price is twice its normal size. This large range foreshadows a possible continuation as the stock moves lower.
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More details on CIEN:
Ciena Corporation provides equipment, software, and services that support the transport, switching, aggregation, service delivery, and management of voice, video, and data traffic on communications networks worldwide. Currently there are 14 analysts that rate Ciena a buy, no analysts rate it a sell, and 3 rate it a hold.
The average volume for Ciena has been 2.8 million shares per day over the past 30 days. Ciena has a market cap of $2.2 billion and is part of the technology sector and telecommunications industry. The stock has a beta of 1.62 and a short float of 19.1% with 6.87 days to cover. Shares are up 6.1% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Wednesday.
Analysis:
rates Ciena as a
. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, good cash flow from operations and expanding profit margins. However, as a counter to these strengths, we also find weaknesses including unimpressive growth in net income and a generally disappointing performance in the stock itself.
Highlights from the ratings report include:
- CIEN's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 0.5%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 1.3%. This growth in revenue does not appear to have trickled down to the company's bottom line, displayed by a decline in earnings per share.
- Net operating cash flow has significantly increased by 1979.66% to $73.85 million when compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, CIENA CORP has also vastly surpassed the industry average cash flow growth rate of -19.30%.
- CIENA CORP has experienced a steep decline in earnings per share in the most recent quarter in comparison to its performance from the same quarter a year ago. This company has reported somewhat volatile earnings recently. But, we feel it is poised for EPS growth in the coming year. During the past fiscal year, CIENA CORP continued to lose money by earning -$0.39 versus -$0.84 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($1.07 versus -$0.39).
- The share price of CIENA CORP has not done very well: it is down 16.57% and has underperformed the S&P 500, in part reflecting the company's sharply declining earnings per share when compared to the year-earlier quarter. The fact that the stock is now selling for less than others in its industry in relation to its current earnings is not reason enough to justify a buy rating at this time.
- The company, on the basis of change in net income from the same quarter one year ago, has significantly underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500 and the Communications Equipment industry. The net income has significantly decreased by 213.4% when compared to the same quarter one year ago, falling from -$9.80 million to -$30.70 million.
- You can view the full Ciena Ratings Report.
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