Cheer from Friday Lingers as Trade Fight Heats Up
Lord Thomas Macauley
once said: "Free trade, one of the greatest blessings which a government can confer on a people, is in almost every country unpopular." He knew what he was talking about, being a smart guy and having lived through a century caught between the Wild West ethos of early industrial capitalism and a long tradition of trade protectionism.
The more things change, the more financial writers pull out their
Bartlett's
.
There were clearly many blessings to be counted this weekend. Markets in Asia, Europe and the U.S. closed last week on titanic notes in concert with an employment report by the
Labor Department
that quelled fears, at least for now, that the tight U.S. job market was putting significant upward pressure on wages.
Asian markets were following through on Friday's performance in early Monday action, with Japan's
Nikkei 225
up 179.57, or 1.2%, to 15,073.57 and South Korea's
Seoul Composite
up a whopping 4%. The Nikkei is trading above 15,000 for the first time since November. Australia's
All Ordinaries
index was up 0.9%, while New Zealand's
NZSE 40
was about unchanged.
But headlines in the coming week are likely to be dominated by issues of free trade, or the lack thereof, in the international marketplace. At the request of the
European Union
, the 133-nation
World Trade Organization
holds an emergency meeting Monday to address U.S. plans to levy tariffs on EU products from cashmere sweaters to feta cheese. The U.S. says it won't impose the tariffs -- which are in retaliation for what it sees as illegal EU limits on bananas imported from Central America, the domain of U.S. banana king
Chiquita
(CQB)
-- until it has the support of the WTO.
And that ain't all. Also hanging in the balance is a bill that would bar the supersonic
Concorde
jet from American skies if the EU enacts recently approved rules prohibiting U.S. planes fitted with "hush kit" engine mufflers.
In other international trade issues, the
Senate Appropriations Committee
Friday drafted a $1 billion loan program to subsidize U.S. steel companies unable to compete with low-priced Japanese imports . Meanwhile, China's increasingly earnest negotiations with the U.S. over its bid to join the WTO hit a serious snag on Saturday when
The New York Times
reported that China may have stolen nuclear design secrets from
Los Alamos National Laboratory
back in the mid-1980s. China's foreign minister,
Tang Jiaxuan
, said the report is without basis and "very irresponsible."
At home, the
Federal Trade Commission
is set to begin its antitrust case against
Intel
(INTC) - Get Report
on Tuesday. The FTC charges that Intel is illegally muscling PC manufacturers by threatening to keep vital chip information from companies who won't meet its demands.
In the Papers
There were a few other noteworthy stories in the weekend press besides the Saturday
Times
piece.
Barron's
interviews economist
Joel Prakken
, the man behind the model behind
Federal Reserve
Governor
Laurence Meyer
. Prakken predicts -- surprise! -- decelerating U.S. economic growth in 1999 associated with the relatively stagnant stock market, which he expects to eliminate the "wealth-effect" driving much of the economy's recent expansion.
Barron's
also gets bullish on
Novell
(NOVL)
, reporting rumors that the company is in "deep negotiations" on a product-creation pact with PC giant
Compaq
(CPQ)
. The paper goes on to detail Novell's resurgence in the corporate networking market over the past couple years, noting that certain Novell boosters see the stock quadrupling within five years.
A front-page article in the
Times
joins a bevy of
recent
stories on the role electronic communications networks may play in the future of the
New York Stock Exchange
and the
Nasdaq Stock Market
. In addition to the competitive threat posed by U.S. networks like
Instinet
, the paper notes the increasingly real possibility of a pan-European electronic trading network.
Elsewhere
Director
Stanley Kubrick
died today at his home in England. Kubrick, whose
2001: A Space Odyssey
was aired by the
Corporation for Public Broadcasting
last Wednesday night as a wonderful alternative to the
Monica Lewinsky
interview, was 70 years old.