'Fast Money' Recap: Downgrade Day
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed below 14,000 as technology stock and energy stocks led the markets lower. CNBC's "Fast Money" team considered the drop to be profit-taking and reviewed various downgrades by analysts.
Chip stocks traded lower after Morgan Stanley downgraded
Intel
(INTC) - Get Report
,
Advanced Micro Devices
(AMD) - Get Report
and
NVIDIA
(NVDA) - Get Report
to underweight. Pete Najarian viewed the downgraded as very interesting, but he feels that PC demand is real. Guy Adami sees it as a gutsy call by Morgan.
Mattel
(MAT) - Get Report
and
Hasbro
(HAS) - Get Report
traded lower after BMO Capital Markets downgraded the toy sector. In Macke's opinion, the downgrade is about taking gains and he is still long Hasbro and
Disney
(DIS) - Get Report
CSX Corp.
(CSX) - Get Report
traded lower after it was also downgraded by Morgan Stanley citing lack of freight volume growth. Adami maintains that $38 is the bottom. He also points out that Carl Icahn and Warren Buffett are long CSX. You can check out their portfolios on Stockpickr at
and
Speaking of Icahn, he raised his stake in
Temple-Inland
(TIN)
to 8.9% and
BEA Systems
(BEAS)
to 11%. Finerman thinks that BEA Systems is one where Icahn can become an active shareholder. She hazards a guess that Icahn will sue BEAS to force them to have an annual meeting. Adami thinks BEAS is going higher with or without Icahn.
Word on the Street
Wheat traded lower for the second day in a row on bearish planting forecasts. Najarian believes the pullbacks in commodity names like
BHP Billiton
(BHP) - Get Report
and
Freeport-McMoRan
(FCX) - Get Report
are buying opportunities.
Najarian sees continued buying in October call options on
EchoStar
(DISH) - Get Report
as market speculators seem to be positioning for a takeover or break-up. Both Najarian and Macke like the stock.
iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index ETF
falls 5% after a huge 2-day run. Chinese markets remain on vacation for the rest of the week, but the Hong Kong Index saw its worst intraday reversal in almost nine years. Adami declares the reversal is for real in the Hong Kong markets and he doesn't see the selloff ending for the rest of the week.
Deal Closed For TXU
Dylan Ratigan reported that financing for a
TXU
(TXU)
buyout could be set to go next week. He is hearing that a deal for the Texan electricity provider will close by the end of October and maybe even next Friday. If this deal closes it will be the largest private equity deal ever. Finerman expressed surprise at the pace the deal.
Having said that, she says that
Guitar Center
(GTRC)
is also close to getting a deal done. Her play on this very recent trend of deals getting done is
Lehman Brothers
(LEH)
and
Goldman Sachs
(GS) - Get Report
because they will be very involved in the deal making. Najarian has professed from the beginning that M&A is over and that many of these deals would get done. Macke disagrees with trading on a M&A trend.
Blackberry Trade
The Blackberry has been a huge hit for
Research In Motion
(RIMM)
and investors have seen the stock go up 126% on the year. On Thursday RIMM will report earnings after the bell.
CNBC
Silicon Valley bureau Chief Jim Goldman joined the crew to discuss Research In Motion.
Goldman mentioned that Global Crown Capital increased the RIMM target price to $180 a share. It's his opinion that RIMM has figured out how to cross the enterprise gap and appeal to the consumer, and RIMM is going gangbusters.
Najarian says the options are pricing in a 15% move one way on the earnings call. When asked about RIMM moving into China, Goldman says it is absolutely huge that RIMM has gotten permission to go there. China will jump start this company like it has never seen before. Najarian likes RIMM and thinks it has more upside. He advises putting on a call spread for November expiration.
Face2Face
Viewers write in with burning questions for the team to answer.
Allen from Texas writes, "When you see charts for
China Finance Online
(JRJC) - Get Report
China BAK Battery
(CBAK)
and even
Baidu.com
(BIDU) - Get Report
, does exuberance or bubble come to mind? Macke says neither bubble nor exuberance come to mind. He tells Allen that these are momentum plays and you should treat them as such.
Phil from Tennessee asks, "Can you give us some insight into what
Garmin's
(GRMN) - Get Report
recent volume is telegraphing? It was 7 times the average volume to the downside when the
Navteq
(NVT) - Get Report
deal was announced Monday."
Finerman answers that for Garmin this is disruptive for two reasons.
First, it makes the valuation of Garmin rich, and second it's a problem for Garmin to have someone buy the software it needs to make its product. Finerman owns Navteq for a play on Garmin taking it over.
Pops & Drops
Pops --
Panera Bread
(PNRA)
traded up 8% on bullish same store sales numbers. Adami thinks Panera will rally into earnings and then it will be time to sell it.
Harley Davidson
(HOG) - Get Report
traded up 6% off a UBS upgrade. Najarian says it's still way off the highs.
Kaiser Aluminum
(KALU) - Get Report
popped 7% off a Bear Stearns upgrade. Finerman agrees that the stock is still undervalued.
Circuit City
(CC) - Get Report
traded up 5%. Macke advises getting out of Circuit City while you can.
KB Home
(KBH) - Get Report
traded up 5%. Adami says take the profits and run.
NYSE Euronext
(NYX)
traded up 2%. Adami says $85 will be big resistance for NYX. He still feels that NYX is cheap on valuation.
Drops --
Wynn
(WYNN) - Get Report
fell 10% and
Las Vegas Sands
(LVS) - Get Report
fell 12% off disappointing growth numbers for Macau. Najarian says the numbers out of Macau weren't as big as people thought they would be, hence the disappointment.
Midway Games
(MWY)
fell 5%. Macke says MWY is married to Sony whose Playstation has tough competition against Nintendo's Wii.
Final Trade
The crew gives their last and best trades before signing off.
- Macke says sell homebuilders and book the short-term gains.
- Finerman is going with Icahn and BEA Systems (BEAS) .
- Najarian likes Apple (AAPL) - Get Report.
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