The most important rule in investing is to look forward, not backward.
If, for instance, a company is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10 based on last year's earnings but next year will be at 50, its stock might be expensive. And yet this presents the obvious challenge -- how do you know what next year's earnings will be?
You can't know it. That's where the analysis begins -- you talk to sellers or users of the company's products. You look at the past successes of analysts covering the stock. You look at the hedge funds that own the stock -- are they reliable?
One portfolio on Stockpickr, Top Earnings Champions, offers a list of more than 30 stocks that have 10 consecutive years of earnings growth. If a company grew earnings through the bubble and bust, through peace and war, boom and recession, every year for the past 10 years, then it's reasonable to believe it will continue to grow in the next year. ...
Recent Comments
| Dow Jones | S&P 500 | NASDAQ | 10-Year Note | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10,318.16 | 1,091.38 | 2,146.04 | 33.56 |
Oil *
77.53
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DOWN
14.28
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3.52
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DOWN
10.78
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UP
0.07
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10 Yr
3.36%
SPDR Gold
112.94
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-0.14%
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-0.32%
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-0.50%
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+0.21%
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