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Tech Trend: Friend or Fantasy?

Stock quotes in this article: IBM , SEBL , ARBA , RSAS , BORL  

Too many investors -- not to mention analysts and financial journalists -- suffer from the same affliction: a short attention span. A bit of news here, a rumor there and suddenly we have a trend.

Case in point: the March quarter. No sooner had it ended than a flurry of warnings, particularly by software makers, threw many of us into a tizzy. And when IBM(IBM Quote) sprang a surprise miss on the market on April 14, there was such consternation that it is probably a good thing windows in most offices can no longer be opened.

Remember what happened the next day? The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 191.24 points, or 1.86%, to 10,087.51, marking a three-day decline of more than 420 points, or 4%. The S&P 500 fell 1.67% that day, while the Nasdaq Composite fell nearly 2%, bringing its three-day loss to 4%. ...

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