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Banks Are Pushing Germany to the Brink

 

The German stock market has been the worst performer in the developed world over the past three years, and most of the emerging world, as well. Yet it is possible that the worst is yet to come in Frankfurt, as this epic plunge in equity values has only recently begun to erode the creditworthiness of German stocks' majority holders -- large banks at the country's moldering core.

The slow-motion collapse has not induced the sort of public anguish in Germany that the bear market has engendered in the U.S. because relatively few of the nation's citizens are shareholders. But bank failures -- in the unlikely event they're allowed to occur -- could change that, because most German workers put their income in savings accounts and depend on an increasingly shaky latticework of bank-backed bonds for their retirement.

And the damage would not be limited to the Continent, as German financial institutions own such U.S. market stalwarts as the Pimco and Scudder families of mutual funds. ...

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