Pretty Full but Still Ravenous, Traders Scarf Up Stocks

 

Sure, the market's overbought. Yeah, it's not hard to find any number of analysts to tell you the market's overvalued. And indeed, many would say stocks are due for a pullback considering the heights they have soared to lately.

Major Indices
INDEX CHANGE % VALUE YR TO DATE
Dow 152.61 1.40% 11,035.70 +20.2
S&P 500 14.23 1.01% 1424.94 +15.9%
Nasdaq 77.72 2.35% 3347.11 +52.7%
Russell 2000 4.97 1.09% 462.04 +9.5%
TSC Internet 53.46 5.86% 955.83 +135.2%
TSC Red Hots
6.34
+2.1% 311.94 N/A
BOND CHANGE PRICE YIELD
30-Year Treasury -14/32 99 14/32 6.166%

No matter, though. After a brief one-day pause yesterday, traders and investors pushed up stocks again as optimism ballooned on Wall Street, sending the Nasdaq Composite Index, the S&P 500 and TheStreet.com Internet Sector index to close at all-time highs, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 11,000 for the first time since Sept. 13.

Thanks to a beefy surge in shares of Hewlett-Packard (HWP Quote), the Dow hopped 152.61, or 1.4%, to 11,035.70. H-P flew 13 5/16, or 16.4%, to 94 5/16, and accounted for a 84.10 points of the Dow's advance. Enthusiasm over H-P's earnings and the solid debut of Agilent Technologies (A Quote), an H-P spin off, boosted the stock and helped energize the tech sector in general. TheStreet.com/NYTimes.com joint newsroom took a look at H-P's earnings in a story yesterday and on Agilent's trading debut today.

Hewlett-Packard: Join the discussion on TSC Message Boards.

Agilent: Join the discussion on TSC Message Boards.

Also helping the rally was a positive bias related to tomorrow's expiration of some index and stock options, according to some analysts. Volume was heavy on both the Nasdaq Stock Market and on the Big Board. But not helping stocks was another down session for the Treasury market. The 30-year Treasury bond tumbled 14/32 to 99 14/32, yielding 6.17%.

The S&P 500 rose 14.23, or 1%, to 1424.94. The S&P 500 hit an all-time intraday high at 1425.31.

The Nasdaq Comp soared 77.72, or 2.4%, to 3347.11, its first-ever close above 3300. Internet, hardware and semiconductor stocks all aided in the Comp's run.

TheStreet.com Internet Sector index soared 53.46, or 5.9%, to 955.83. America Online (AOL Quote) and Yahoo! (YHOO Quote) are both within striking distance of hitting their all-time closing highs. Additionally, TheStreet.com Red Hots index rose 6.34, or 2.07%, to 311.94. The 20-stock index tracks action in particularly volatile stocks and is meant to measure so-called hot money.

TheStreet.com E-Finance Index, which has been enjoying a torrid November, hopped 5%.

The Russell 2000 gained 4.97, or 1.1%, to 462.04. It was the 16th session out of 17 in which the small-cap gauge has risen.

Peter Coolidge, managing director of trading at Brean Murray Foster Securities, said the market is in a "euphoric stage." He said the market goes up on any sort of good news and doesn't go down that much on bad news. But the market does sort of have to take a breather, the trader said.

Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Transportation Average, which traded down through most of the session, rallied to close higher on the day as oil tumbled. The transportation average rose 14.03, or 0.5%, to 3018.16.

The drop in December crude oil futures contract helped take a toll on the oil service sector in the wake of their recent surge. The Philadelphia Stock Exchange Oil Service Index dropped 3.2%. The December crude-oil futures contract fell 80 cents to close at $25.80 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

With the market stretched on the upside, a good number on Wall Street are looking for a pullback.

Short-term, the market has reached overbought conditions that have to be relieved by consolidation, said Paul Cherney, market analyst at S&P MarketScope.

Cherney said there's "going to be a day of reckoning after tomorrow," when traders look at the condition of the bond market and as hedged positions that were put on for expiration are unwound, which will exert some negative pressure on the market early next week.

Generally, when bond yields are rising, stocks have a tough time gaining, the analyst noted. Right now equity traders are overlooking the rise in yields, but eventually there's going to have to be some balance between rising yields and rising stocks, he said.

Intermediate-term, the analyst is positive, however, pointing to the fact that the November-to-January period produces the best positive returns based on the S&P 500.

"We're in a pretty powerful part of the year," Cherney said.

In New York Stock Exchange trading, 1.023 billion shares were exchanged while declining stocks beat advancers 1,525 to 1,507. On the Nasdaq Stock Market, 1.577 billion shares changed hands -- the second-highest Nasdaq volume ever, after yesterday's -- while winners beat losers 2,330 to 1,737. New 52-week lows beat new highs 143 to 89 on the Big Board, while new highs beat new lows 239 to 70 in over-the-counter trading.

Among other indices, the Dow Jones Utility Average gave up 2.19, or 0.7%, to 294.05, while the American Stock Exchange Composite Index slipped 0.66, or 0.1%, to 822.74.


Caspian Pipeline Deal Inked

President Clinton, no stranger to maneuvering legalese for his own benefit, looked on today as the leaders of Turkey, Azerbaijan and Georgia signed a historic oil pipeline agreement that allows oil companies from the U.S. and elsewhere access to oil and gas emanating from the Caspian region without having to traverse the troublesome territories of Russia or Iran.

The 1,080 mile-long pipeline is expected to cost $2.4 billion and would run through Azerbaijan to Turkey, linking the Caspian region to key international markets. The pipeline helps U.S. companies become more competitive in the region, without violating the Iran-Libya Sanctions Act. It should also help diversify worldwide-consumer dependence on Russia, through where all Caspian oil and gas is now shipped, and on Middle East suppliers.

"These pipelines will be an insurance policy for the entire world by helping to ensure our energy resource pass through multiple routes instead of a single chokepoint," Clinton said.

Russia had competed for a pipeline that would link Russia with Azerbaijan. For its part, Iran had wanted an oil swap agreement with Azerbaijan, saving Teheran transport costs.

Despite the questions about the deal's feasibility, today's signing is considered a policy victory for Clinton, who is in Istanbul for the summit of the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe.

-- Heather Bourbeau


Elsewhere in North American equities, the Toronto Stock Exchange 300 gained 60.35 to 7651.60 and the Mexican Stock Exchange IPC Index added 92.52 to 6196.14.

Thursday's Company Report

By Tara Murphy
Staff Reporter

(Earnings estimates from First Call; new highs and lows on a closing basis unless otherwise specified. Earnings reported on a diluted basis unless otherwise specified.)

Mergers, acquisitions and joint ventures

Aetna (AET Quote) lost 1 3/4 to 58 7/8 after it said it will buy a one-third stake in Heiwa Life Insurance of Japan for $20 million in the first step of a buyout it hopes to complete next year.

Baxter (BAX Quote) fell 3/4 to 66 7/8 after it said it will buy North American Vaccine (NVX Quote) in a stock deal valued at $390 million. Shares of North American Vaccine added 3/8, or 6.4%, to 6 3/16.

Cygnus (CYGN Quote) bounced 1 3/16, or 11%, to 12 after it said it will sell its drug delivery business to Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ Quote) Ortho-McNeil Pharmaceutical unit for up to $75 million in cash, depending on certain conditions. Shares of Johnson & Johnson slid 1 1/4 to 104 3/8.

Boeing (BA Quote) hopped 11/16 to 43 1/4 after it said it has won at least 30 orders worth more than $2 billion for its new line of Delta IV satellite-launch rockets, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing sources familiar with the development. The story said Loral Space & Communications (LOR Quote) placed a significant order.

British American Tobacco (BTI Quote) skidded 5/16 to 11 3/16 after it said it will sell its Shoppers Drug Mart unit to leverage buy-out firm Kohlberg Kravis Roberts for $1.8 billion in cash. The deal is subject to BAT completing its acquisition of Canadian conglomerate Imasco.

Cable & Wireless (CWZ Quote) jumped 3/16 to 59 1/8 after it said it formed a global relationship with Compaq (CPQ Quote) to provide small and medium-sized companies with e-business solutions. The two companies planned to commit $500 million to the venture over a period of five years. Shares of Compaq moved up 1 1/4, or 5.2%, to 25.

Knight/Trimark (NITE Quote) jumped 4 1/4, or 9.7%, to 48 after it said it has set plans to enter the options market by buying options-trading firm Arbitrade Holdings for $459 million in stock. TheStreet.com's Options Buzz had the scoop back on Tuesday.

Major subsidiaries of NBC and MSNBC, and Washington Post (WPO Quote) announced a venture to share news reports on their Web sites. NBC is a unit of General Electric (GE Quote), while MSNBC is a joint venture between NBC and Microsoft (MSFT Quote). Shares of General Electric slipped 1 13/16 to 139 3/8, while Microsoft declined 1/8 to 84 15/16.

Raytheon (RTN.B Quote) edged up 3/16 to 31 9/16 after it said it will receive a $300 million naval support contract in Guam.

Russ Berrie (RUS Quote) leaped 5 1/16, or 25.3%, to 25 after it said venture capital company Evercore Partners has offered to buy it for $27 a share in cash. Under terms of the nonbinding proposal, Evercore would acquire all outstanding common shares of Russ, other than those owned by CEO Russ Berrie.

Earnings/revenue reports and previews

Computer giant Hewlett-Packard (HWP Quote) soared 13 1/2, or 16.6%, to 94 1/2 after it posted fourth-quarter earnings last night of 75 cents a share, beating the 16-analyst estimate of 73 cents and the year-ago 72 cents. Earnings rose to $760 million from $710 million, while revenue from continuing operations totaled $11.4 billion compared with $10.3 billion last year. PaineWebber increased its rating on Hewlett-Packard to attractive from neutral.

For more on H-P, check out additional coverage from the TheStreet.com/nytimes.com joint newsroom.


Applied Materials (AMAT Quote) lost 3 1/16 to 107 despite reporting fourth-quarter income from continuing operations last night of 69 cents a share, beating the 28-analyst estimate of 65 cents and the year-ago operating loss of 45 cents a share. Credit Suisse First Boston, Lehman Brothers and Warburg Dillon Read raised 2000 earnings estimates on Applied Materials. See additional reporting on Applied Materials from TheStreet.com/NYTimes.com's joint newsroom.

Barnes & Noble (BKS Quote) slipped 15/16 to 21 1/4 after it posted third-quarter earnings of 5 cents a share, in line with the 10-analyst estimate and up from a year-ago loss of 7 cents a share. TheStreet.com/NYTimes.com joint newsroom reported on the company's earnings in a story earlier today.

Kimberly-Clark (KMB Quote) fell 1 5/8 to 66 5/8 despite saying it would meet fourth-quarter estimates and would continue to add to its healthcare-related business through acquisitions. The current 14-analyst estimate for the fourth quarter is 76 cents. Earlier today, PaineWebber upped its price target to 83 from 73.

Matthews (MATW Quote) inched up 3/8 to 25 1/4 after it posted fourth-quarter earnings of 39 cents a share, beating the two-analyst estimate of 38 cents and up from the year ago 34 cents.

TD Waterhouse (TWE Quote) stumbled 9/16 to 18 13/16 after it reported fourth-quarter earnings of 8 cents a share excluding charges, beating the seven-analyst estimate of 6 cents a share, and the year-ago 4 cents a share.

Venator (Z Quote) rose 5/8, or 95, to 7 1/2 after it reported third-quarter earnings of 7 cents a share, in line with the seven-analyst estimate and better than the year-ago loss of 29 cents a share.

Westvaco (W Quote) gained 3/4 to 32 5/8 after it posted fourth-quarter operating earnings of 58 cents a share, beating the nine-analyst estimate of 41 cents and the year-ago 36 cents a share.

Offerings and stock actions

ABC Bancorp (ABCB Quote) added 1/4 to 13 1/2 after it said its board approved a 6-for-5 stock split.

BancWest (BWE Quote) jumped 1 5/16 to 44 13/16 after it declared a 2-for-1 stock split.

Home Depot (HD Quote)tacked on 2 1/16 to 82 after it set a 3-for-2 stock split.

Merrill Lynch priced 18 million ADSs of i-Cable Communications (ICAB Quote) at $27 each. Each ADS is equivalent to 20 local shares.

IRT Property (IRT Quote) climbed 1/4 to 7 3/4 after it approved the buyback of up to $25 million of its common stock.

Maxim Integrated (MXIM Quote) jumped 4 3/4, or 5.8%, to 87 after it set a 2-for-1 stock split.

MCI Worldcom (WCOM Quote) added 2 7/8 to 91 7/16 after it set a 3-for-2 stock split.

Portugal Telecom (PT Quote) rose 3/4 to 46 3/4 after it set a 5-for-1 stock split.

Credit Suisse First Boston priced 5.5 million shares of Retek (RETK Quote) at $15 each last night, above the estimated $12 to $14 range. Retek, a spinoff of HNC Software (HBCS Quote), makes software used by retailers to communicate online with suppliers and distributors. Jeffries wasted no time initiating coverage of the new issue, rating it a buy and setting a 12-month price target of 25. Shares of Retek soared 17 9/16, or 117%, to 32 9/16.

Company Offering Price Current Price % Change
Agilent (A Quote) $30 42 3/8 +41.2%
MetaSolv (MSLV Quote) $19 55 187.5%
Symyx Tech (SMMX Quote) $14 22 7/16 +59.8%

Analysts actions

Deutsche Bank Alex. Brown said it expects rising fuel prices to limit positive earnings surprises for airlines in the fourth-quarter and possibly cause some companies to miss earnings estimates. However, Deutsche did not make changes to any ratings, saying 2000 estimates are still on track and ahead of forecasts, citing travel agent commission cuts, which should offset any more fuel price increases.

PaineWebber raised its price target for Exxon (XON Quote) to 87 from 80. Exxon shares added 3/4 to 81.

PaineWebber also upped its price target on Kimberly-Clark (KMB Quote) to 83 from 73. Kimberly-Clark lost 1 5/8 to 66 5/8.

PaineWebber cut Kodak's (EK Quote) price target to 78 from 85. Kodak shares shed 1/16 to 66 9/16.

Launch Media (LAUN Quote) soared 4 13/16, or 27.4%, to 22 1/2 after Banc of America Securities initiated coverage with a buy rating and a price target of 32.

Warburg raised its first-quarter 2000 earnings estimates on Micron Technology (MU Quote) to $1 from 40 cents, and 2000 estimates to $3.39 from $2.13. Micron Technology bounced 5 9/16, or 8.7%, to 69 3/8.

Merrill set a 2001 earnings per share estimate of $4.20 for Motorola (MOT Quote). Merrill also said it sees a price objective of 140 to 150. Motorola hopped 4 13/16 to 123 13/16.

Morgan Stanley Dean Witter raised Unisys (UIS Quote) to outperform from neutral and set a price target of 37. Unisys leaped 5 7/16, or 22%, to 30 1/8.

Warburg Dillon Read started United Parcel Service (UPS Quote) with a buy rating and set a price target of 78. Morgan Stanley started the stock with an outperform rating. Merrill Lynch started UPS with an accumulate rating, while Donaldson Lufkin & Jenrette started it as a market perform. United Parcel Services lost 1 3/8 to 66 5/16.

Merrill Lynch raised its price target on Wells Fargo (WFC Quote) to 58 from 53. Shares of Wells Fargo mounted 3/4 to 47 7/8.

First Boston raised its price target on Xilinx (XLNX Quote) to 110 from 80. Xilinx shares bounced 6 3/8, or 7.4%, to 92 1/2.

Miscellany

A California judge declared a mistrial in a multibillion class action lawsuit against Ford(F Quote) after the jury was unable to render a verdict. The legal proceedings stemmed from claims that Ford placed the ignition to close the engine, causing more than 300 different models of cars to experience stalling. Ford fell 1 7/8 to 50 3/4.

A federal jury affirmed the legitimacy of five Lucent(LU Quote) patents and said they were violated by Newbridge Networks (NN Quote) products that are used to handle data transmission on the Internet. Lucent gained 3 3/8 to 80 3/8.

Marsh & McLennan (MMC Quote) slipped 1 1/4 to 78 1/2 after it named its president Jeffrey Greenberg to the position of CEO, succeeding A.J.C. Smith who will remain as chairman until he retires next May.

The Heard on the Street column in The Wall Street Journal looks at daytrading firm Harbor Securities, which ceased trading for two full weeks after a $600,000 loss by one trader sparked scrutiny by regulators. Regulators also focused on an additional $2.8 million in losses since June. The column discusses the risks associated with daytrading firms that pool their customers' funds.

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