Wrong!

Cramer Tries to Decipher Monday's Confusing Action

 

Monday felt like I had just walked into second-year Urdu -- and I had missed all of Urdu 101 the year before. I couldn't even pick up the cadence of the day, let alone understand what was happening.

Take Microsoft. How many times has Barron's slammed this stock only to see it come roaring back intraday, as the shorts capitulated and MSFT' s allies reiterated buy ratings? But when I bought Mister Softee before the market opened at 135, it rallied only for about an hour and I was barely able to get out alive, before Goldman lowered the boom on the darn thing.

Or take Ascend. I mean, I know I am restricted, the result of a decision to place myself in the Ascend doghouse because of how poorly I have traded that killer stock. But how many times can this stock get downgraded and still go lower? Unless this is the quarter from Hell, this stock should have stopped going down on downgrades three points ago. Will someone please put this stock out of its misery?

Or how about Kodak? Here is a company that has pre-announced a half-a-billion times, the kind I love to sit with a basket under knowing that the bad news is "in" the stock. But when it blew-up after the close, the stock looked like it was headed to levels not seen since the Eastman Chemical spin-off. Looks like George Fisher is being reviled both for leaving Motorola with no good products and for developing no good new products at Kodak. Suddenly Kodak would go up if Fisher announced his resignation. What a turn around. Quite a change from the six point he tacked on to Kodak the day he arrived!

Confusion reigned everywhere on Monday. What was P&G doing up two and a half early in the session? How could American Home Products open virtually unchanged -- no doubt courtesy of a poorly timed upgrade by Paine Webber -- after one of its most important drugs got hosed by the FDA?

Or the drillers -- which I am long. What makes them go up everyday, even though oil isn't going anywhere? What incredible momentum sustains this group day after day after day.

Can't anybody play this game?

For once, I agree with Buffett. Let's go buy some bonds. At least they still rally on bad news.

*************

Random musings: McDonald's is opening in Sri Lanka? I will short this thing until the mad cows come home if they open up in the vegetarian province of Madras, India...

The president of Oakley announces on Monday that he's going to buy one million shares. I have heard of getting long and loud, but loud and then long? That's for dopes.

>To order reprints of this article, click here: Reprints

James J. Cramer is manager of a hedge fund and co-chairman of TheStreet.com. Under no circumstances does the information in this column represent a recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Mr. Cramer's writings provide insights into the dynamics of money management and are not a solicitation for transactions. While he cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he welcomes your feedback, emailed to Jjcramerco@aol.com.

TheStreet Premium Services

Jim Cramer
Jim Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS:
Trade right alongside a Wall Street pro — enjoy access to his Charitable Trust portfolio and be sent trade alerts BEFORE he makes a move. Learn More
OptionsProfits
OptionsProfits:
Get 50+ trade ideas a week from the industry's top options experts. Plus — exclusive commentary on market trends and essential trading tools. Learn More
Real Money
Real Money:
Our team of professional Wall Street Pros — including Jim Cramer, Doug Kass, and Nicholas Vardy — delivers intelligent analysis, timely trade ideas, and colorful commentary. Learn More
Stocks Under $10
Stocks Under $10:
Break into the market with small- and mid-cap stocks... all $10 or less! David Peltier tells you exactly which low-priced stocks he's buying and selling. Learn More
To begin commenting right away, you can log in below using your Disqus, Facebook, Twitter, OpenID or Yahoo login credentials. Alternatively, you can post a comment as a "guest" just by entering an email address. Your use of the commenting tool is subject to multiple terms of service/use and privacy policies - see here for more details.
blog comments powered by Disqus
Dow Jones S&P 500 NASDAQ 10-Year Note
12,454.83 1,317.82 2,837.53 17.45
Oil *
107.26
DOWN
74.92
DOWN
2.86
DOWN
1.85
DOWN
0.14
10 Yr
1.74%
SPDR Gold
152.68
-0.60%
-0.22%
-0.07%
-0.80%
Data delayed 20 minutes

Top Stories and Tools

Articles From

After the Bell

Before the Bell

Booyah! Newsletter

Midday Bell

TheStreet Top 10 Stories

Winners & Losers

We respect your privacy.
Podcasts

Connect with TheStreet