Investing
Getting Down to Fundamentals. Part 2: All About EVA
Want to know the best way to dig up whether a company's creating wealth or destroying it? Check out EVA.
| Part 1: Debt Ratios |
| Part 2: All About EVA |
| Part 3: Asset Management Ratios |
.) "Though you may show profitability in a GAAP [Generally Accepted Accounting Principles] sense, if you're not recovering the cost of equity capital, you're destroying shareholder value, not building it," says Joseph Carcello, a professor at the University of Tennessee's business school. "You can't assume equity capital is free, just because it's not explicit. There's an opportunity cost of no longer having that cash to use for other purposes." To think of EVA another way, says Carcello, imagine two companies that each generated $1 million in annual net income. In the first case, the assets used to crank out that profit were financed by selling shareholders one share of stock for $1. In the second case, assets were financed by selling stock worth $1 million. Though equally profitable, one company devours shareholder capital, while the other scarcely uses any. From a shareholder point of view, there's no question that the first company is the better investment. What EVA Can Tell Investors
EVA is a dollar figure that tells how much wealth a company has created above and beyond its cost of capital. But the actual number matters less than the trend in EVA, says Dennis Soter, a partner at Stern Stewart. "If EVA is positive, but is expected to become less positive, that's not a very good situation. Conversely, if a company has negative EVA but it's expected to improve, that can be a tremendous investment opportunity." Even in healthy companies, trends in EVA may foreshadow stock performance better than trends in the bottom line. Wal-Mart (WMT) offers a case in point: From 1991 to 1994, net income rose steadily while EVA slowly dropped, though it remained positive. Though Wal-Mart generated profits of $8.6 billion for the period, it added economic value -- money over and above the cost of equity and debt capital -- of only $1.3 billion. Its stock price, up 38.6% for the period, bested the S&P 500
by a mere 1.9%. But then business took off. Wal-Mart created $5.4 billion in value from 1995 to 1999 -- and its stock price soared 379%, outpacing the S&P by 182%. | Wal-Mart's Good Face of EVA Wal-Mart's stock price soared in the late '90s as EVA surged. The chart shows EVA performance |
| Source: Stern Stewart |
| Kmart's Bad Face of EVA As Kmart lost wealth for shareholders, its stock price trailed the market, too |
| Source: Stern Stewart |
How EVA Affects Your Investments
Even if you can't conduct sophisticated EVA analysis on your own, it's worth knowing how the idea can play out in companies. For example, companies that abide by EVA may willingly accept crummy earnings in the short term in exchange for a better return in the future. Companies that don't care about EVA, on the other hand, may be less willing to sacrifice earnings in the present for gains down the road. They want to max out earnings all the time --though that strategy has a downside. "R&D expenses and advertising expenses constitute the lifeblood of future growth in tech and marketing companies, respectively," explains Soter of Stern Stewart. "Unfortunately, managers who are focused on EPS will often curtail long-term strategic investments in R&D and advertising to produce steady and predictable earnings growth." That's because under traditional accounting rules those costs would have to be expensed right away, which would undercut earnings. But under an EVA incentive compensation plan, managers are told to treat R&D and advertisement as investments, since they're expected to produce profits down the road. In the name of EVA, companies may undertake other actions that seem similarly calculated to annoy investors -- cutting dividends or taking on junk debt instead of raising equity capital -- mostly in a bid to cut down on the use of pricey equity capital. Of course, regardless of the strategic stuff, it's still possible for companies that use EVA to turn out to be shabby investments. Rubbermaid, which implemented an EVA regime to no avail, floundered around until it eventually got bought out by Newell. J.C. Penney (JCP) is another EVA-abiding laggard. So EVA is certainly no management panacea. But its underlying principles matter. EVA underscores the point that the cost of equity capital is too often ignored, and that's an idea that deserves investors' attention.TheStreet Premium Services
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