Former Tech Glutton Janus Turns Finicky

 

During a rocky fourth quarter, Janus fund managers didn't make too many changes to their top holdings, but they did make some intriguing and selective moves within the tech sector.

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The average direct-sold Janus stock fund paid dearly for its typically big tech appetite last year, losing more than 17% in the fourth quarter alone. Compare that with a 7.8% loss for the S&P 500, according to Morningstar. Last week the Denver growth shop sent regulators paperwork to launch its second value fund along with a list of its firm-wide stock holdings through Dec. 31. Despite Janus' fourth-quarter drubbing, the list shows few changes from 90 days earlier among its favorite stocks. This gives optimists the chance to say Janus managers are sticking to their guns. It also gives pessimists more ammo for the argument that Janus owns too many shares of its favorites like AOL Time Warner (AOL Quote) or Nokia(NOK Quote) to move out of those positions quickly if it wanted to.

A closer look, however, shows a selective appetite in the tech, health care and energy sectors, and a blooming interest in financial stocks. Today let's tackle tech and save the other sectors for tomorrow. Some might wonder why we still care about Janus managers' tastes given the beating they took last year. This, of course, ignores these folks' average 83% gain in 1999 and their market-moving girth, given the nearly $182 billion they had sunk into stocks at the end of 2000, according to bigdough.com, a Web site that tracks institutional stock ownership.

Janus managers had almost 39% of their shareholders' money stuffed into their top-15 stocks, many of which are big tech-media-telecom shops. The names at the top haven't changed much with only one new stock in the top-10; media kingpin Viacom(VIA.B Quote) replaced server titan Sun Microsystems(SUNW Quote). Janus stock pickers didn't make drastic adjustments to these positions, dropping their share balance in only four: AOL Time Warner, Nokia, Comcast(CMCSK Quote) and Enron(ENE Quote).

Janus Funds' Top-15
Stock % of Fund's Assets YTD Return
AOL Time Warner 7.3 39%
Nokia 5 -39.1
Cisco 3.8 -26.1
General Electric 3.2 -2
EMC 3.1 -16.9
Comcast 2.4 2.1
Texas Instruments 2 -22.7
Telefonos de Mexico 1.8 19.3
Viacom 1.8 11.8
Enron 1.8 -7.8
Boeing 1.5 -9.1
Sun Microsystems 1.5 -16.8
Linear Technologies 1.4 25.7
Citigroup 1.1 5.8
Maxim Integrated Products 1.1 25.9
Totals/Averages 38.8 -0.7
S&P 500 14.6 -1.4
Source: bigdough.com and Baseline/Thomson Financial. Returns through Feb. 15.

Make no mistake, Janus managers like these companies -- or at least they'd better, given Janus' fat stakes in them. Of the top-15, they own more than 5% of eight shops and more than 10% of four: Comcast (11.6%), Telefonos de Mexico (TMX Quote) (12.5%), and semiconductor shops Linear Technology (LLTC Quote) (12.8%) and Maxim Integrated Products(MXIM Quote) (11.8%). Those whopping stakes show the depth of Janus managers' love for these companies, but to see their shifting sentiment it's better to look at shifts within their top-100 positions, not just these massive stakes.

For instance, Janus managers ramped up their exposure to the shares of many semiconductor or chip shops already in their portfolios. This includes Janus favorites like Texas Instruments(TXN Quote), Linear Technology and Maxim, but also Applied Micro Circuits(AMCC Quote), Broadcom(BRCM Quote), PMC-Sierra(PMCS Quote) and Vitesse Semiconductor(VTSS Quote). Chip bellwether Intel(INTC Quote) remained a modest position within this group.

It took guts to buy more chip stocks and the move might work out if the cyclical chip sector has bottomed. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index lost more than 32% in the fourth quarter, but is up more than 14% in 2001 through Friday's close, according to Baseline/Thomson Financial.

That said, Janus managers weren't indiscriminate chip-stock buyers. For instance, they sharply reduced their exposure to Xilinx(XLNX Quote), which is up 3.8% since Jan. 1. They also completely dumped their positions in semiconductor firms RF Micro Devices(RFMD Quote) and Cypress Semiconductor(CY Quote) in the fourth quarter, according to their filing.

Chips Ahoy
Stock Dec. 31 Value
(in millions of dollars)
Q4 Share Change YTD Return
Texas Instruments $3,665.9 9,226,310 -22.7%
Linear Technology 2,545.5 4,407,105 25.7
Maxim Integrated Products 2,059.5 5,927,950 25.9
Vitesse Semiconductor 1,414.7 11,826,845 13
Applied Micro Circuits 762.6 1,571,210 -41.6
Broadcom 418.5 3,806,675 -11.8
Xilinx 332.6 -3,956,230 3.8
PMC-Sierra 225.6 1,985,695 -33.2
Intel 48.7 231,595 13.6
RF Micro Devices 0 -3,410,460 -43.1
Cypress Semiconductor 0 -4,413,790 25
Sources: bigdough.com and Baseline/Thomson Financial. Returns through Feb. 16.

They took a similarly selective approach to the fiber-optic networkers in the fourth quarter. During those 90 days, Janus managers ratcheted up their exposure to stocks like Corning(GLW Quote) and bellwether Cisco Systems(CSCO Quote), as well as upstart competitors like Juniper Networks(JNPR Quote) and Ciena(CIEN Quote) and also the merging JDS Uniphase(JDSU Quote) and SDL(SDLI Quote). At the same time, they reduced their exposure to Nortel Networks(NT Quote), which announced disappointing results last week, and ditched all of their more than seven million shares of Lucent Technologies(LU Quote).

Many of these stocks were stars in 1999, but have since seen their earnings and prospects drop thanks to slipping economic growth and slowed corporate spending on technology. The American Stock Exchange Networking Index is down more than 14% year-to-date, after losing more than 37% in last year's fourth quarter.

Networking
Stock Dec. 31 Value
(in millions of dollars)
Q4 Share Change YTD Return
Cisco Systems $6,844.4 8,533,695 -26.1
JDS Uniphase 1,574.4 6,306,495 -14.1
Corning 1,290.2 14,908,525 -37.5
SDL 1,275.5 565,555 N/A
Nortel Networks 842.2 -35,405,420 -37.6
Juniper Networks 466.3 3,028,158 -36.5
Ciena 362.4 2,628,470 1.5
Lucent Technologies 0 -7,537,295 -6.1
Sources: bigdough.com and Baseline/Thomson Financial. Returns through Feb. 16.

More than a few investors are wondering if the profoundly battered PC sector might be undervalued these days, but there Janus managers were stingy with their shareholders' money in the fourth quarter. Sure, their stakes in Dell(DELL Quote) and Compaq(CPQ Quote) rose from 0 shares to some 4.1 million and more than 830,000 in the fourth quarter, according to Janus' paperwork. That sounds good because both stocks lost more than 40% in the fourth quarter, but both are up more than 30% so far this year. However, these aren't big positions given Janus' more than $180 billion in assets.

Janus managers might wish they'd done more bargain-hunting in the PC sector late last year. The Philadelphia Stock Exchange Computer Box Maker Index is up more than 19% this year after losing more than 35% in last year's fourth quarter.

Janus managers more than halved their stake in Apple Computer(AAPL Quote), up more than 27% this year. They also trimmed already modest positions in IBM(IBM Quote) and Gateway(GTW Quote). In fact, by the end of the year, they owned no shares of Gateway.

They also sharply trimmed their exposure to another company tied to maturing PC sales, software titan Microsoft(MSFT Quote). On Sept. 30, Janus funds owned more than 12 million Microsoft shares. The shop's managers sold more than 6.1 million of those shares in the fourth quarter as the stock tumbled 28.1%. And now the stock is up more than 31% this year after losing more than half its value last year.

In Boxes
Stock Dec. 31 Value
(in millions of dollars)
Q4 Share Change YTD Return
Dell* 107.4 4,110,140 34.8%
Apple Computer 81.5 -10,910,395 27.7
Compaq* 19.7 831,335 44.9
IBM 14.4 -190,000 35.3
Gateway 0 -23,970 8.7
*This stock was added to Janus portfolios in the fourth quarter.
Sources: bigdough.com and Baseline/Thomson Financial. Returns through Feb. 16.

Finally, it looks like Janus fund skippers, who weren't shy about owning Net stocks when they were white-hot, are casting a more discerning eye on Net stocks after last year's bloodbath. In the fourth quarter, they trimmed their exposure in varying degrees to each of the Net bellwethers: AOL Time Warner, soaring online auctioneer eBay(EBAY Quote), sagging online book peddler Amazon.com (AMZN Quote) and Net ad kingpin DoubleClick(DCLK Quote).

It looks like the managers might be intrigued by business-to-business software shops like i2 Technologies(ITWO Quote) and Ariba(ARBA Quote), in which they actually bought shares in the fourth quarter.

You'd also have to suspect -- and hope -- they have confidence in top holding AOL, given the more than $13 billion they've sunk into the stock, which is up almost 40% this year. Some might or might not be surprised to see these skippers selling shares of WebMD(HLTH Quote), in which they invested more than $900 million at the start of 2000. It's probably sobering for fans of Yahoo!(YHOO Quote) to see that its shares were wiped from Janus' books in the fourth quarter.

Web Plays
Stock Dec. 31 Value
(in millions of dollars)
Q4 Share Change YTD Return
America Online $13,346.2 -5,474,255 39%
Verisign 1,816.4 -184,208 -19.5
i2 Technologies 837.3 2,625,400 -29.8
eBay 718.4 -1,302,770 47.7
Amazon.com 341.7 -7,619,430 -12
Ariba* 172.3 4,617,898 -59.9
WebMD 105.2 -4,000,000 26
DoubleClick 84.5 -9,271,975 17.6
*This stock was added to Janus portfolios in the fourth quarter.
Sources: bigdough.com and Baseline/Thomson Financial. Returns through Feb. 16.

Time will tell if the folks in Denver made slick or inconsequential intra-tech moves in the fourth quarter. So far this year, two direct-sold Janus stock funds are in the black and half are trailing their average peer -- of course, that does mean half are beating their average peer, savvy fund marketers would be quick to add.

At a year-end press conference, Janus managers referred to their 2000 returns as "un-Janus-like," but it's hard to see that changing -- no matter what they do -- as long as they're growth managers and tech stocks stagger.

Not Yet Back in Black
Only two Janus funds are in the black and half trail their average peer. But over the past three years, only Janus Special Situations lags its average competitor
Janus fund YTD Return Rank vs. Peers
(1=Best, 100=Worst)
(JASSX Quote)Special Situations 8.2% 1%
(JSVAX Quote)Strategic Value 5.4 7
(JABAX Quote)Balanced -0.6 58
(JAEIX Quote)Equity-Income -0.8 14
(JANSX Quote)Janus* -1.3 17
(JORNX Quote)Orion -1.9 28
(JAGIX Quote)Growth & Income -2 23
(JAVTX Quote)Venture* -2.7 53
(JAOSX Quote)Overseas* -3.6 32
(JAWWX Quote)Worldwide* -4.4 64
(JAMRX Quote)Mercury -6 67
(JAGTX Quote)Global Technology* -6.8 49
(JAVLX Quote)Twenty* -8.7 84
(JAOLX Quote)Olympus* -8.9 86
(JAENX Quote)Enterprise -9.8 84
(JAGLX Quote)Global Life Sciences* -13.6 88
Source: Morningstar. Returns through Feb. 15. *Closed to new investors.
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Fund Junkie runs every Monday and Wednesday, as well as occasional dispatches. Ian McDonald writes daily for TheStreet.com. In keeping with TSC's editorial policy, he doesn't own or short individual stocks. He also doesn't invest in hedge funds or other private investment partnerships. He invites you to send your feedback to imcdonald@thestreet.com, but he cannot give specific financial advice.

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