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Dicker to Cramer: Iraq Violence Is About Much More Than Iraq

Stocks in this article: RDS.A, XOM, APC, EOG, BP

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- I was talking to Jim Cramer today about the latest from Iraq, where Sunni fighters have attempted a raid on the largest Iraqi refinery. It is clear that the fighting in Iraq is widening.

Early successes from ISIS forces in taking the city of Mosul and Tikrit have not moderated in the second week of fighting. It appears now that this will be a long struggle.

With financial aid coming from the Saudi government and with ISIS forces equipping themselves with U.S. arms confiscated from the Iraqi military, hope is disappearing that this brutal force of insurgents will be quelled quickly. And that does not bode well for the region and oil prices.

This is no longer a civil struggle for the control of Iraq, if it ever was one. It is quickly becoming a holy war between Sunni and Shiite religious sects, looking to establish hegemony over the region. The translation of ISIS is loosely the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, but the Syria they refer to is a greater Syria before borders were redrawn after World War I. This greater Syria includes all of Lebanon, parts of Israel and Turkey and Cyprus as well, in which the ISIS forces are trying to install a new Caliphate under Sharia law.

Such aspirations, when accompanied by ample money and arms and the brutal conviction that these thugs display, has the potential not only to destabilize Iraq, but the entire region, should it be allowed to continue to gain strength. This is something I do not believe the U.S. will be able to ignore or allow.

That reaction will, I believe, be the next catalyst to make oil reach $110 a barrel.

I talk more about these events with Jim in the video above.

At the time of publication, Dicker owned shares of BP.

This article represents the opinion of a contributor and not necessarily that of TheStreet or its editorial staff.

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Dan Dicker has been a floor trader at the New York Mercantile Exchange with more than 25 years of oil trading experience. He is a licensed commodities trade adviser.

Dan is currently President of MercBloc LLC, a wealth management firm and is the author of "Oil's Endless Bid," published in March of 2011 by John Wiley and Sons.

Dan Dicker has appeared as an energy analyst since 2002 with all the major financial news networks. He has lent his expertise in hundreds of live radio and television broadcasts on CNBC, Bloomberg US and UK and CNNfn.

Dan obtained a bachelor of arts degree from the State University of New York at Stony Brook in 1982.

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