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Krispy Kreme, Three Others Are Poised for More Volatility

Krispy Kreme (KKD) ($18.84), down 2.3% year to date. Analysts expect the doughnut chain to report EPS of 23 cents after the closing bell on Monday.

Krispy Kreme was a high-flyer going back to August 2003, setting an all-time intraday high at $49. Then the cream popped out of the stock's parabolic bubble with the stock trading as low as $1.01 in February 2009. The stock then surged to a multiyear intraday high at $26.63 on Nov. 21, before trading as low as $15.70 on Feb. 5. Krispy Kreme has been below its 200-day SMA at $19.99 since March 17.

The weekly chart is positive with its five-week MMA at $18.31. The stock has been trading back and forth around a semiannual pivot at $18.87 since 2014 began. Reflecting potential volatility our semiannual and annual value levels lag at $15.19 and $12.12, respectively, with weekly and monthly risky levels at $19.57 and $20.25, respectively.

Quiksilver (ZQK) ($5.95), down 32% year to date. Analysts expect the retailer of outdoor sports apparel, footwear and accessories to report a loss of 3 cents a share after the closing bell on Monday. The stock set a multiyear intraday high at $9.29 on Nov. 13, and has been trading sideways to down since then. Quiksilver has been below its 200-day SMA at $7.30 since April 7, trading as low as $5.58 on May 21.

A stock trading below $10 a share is not a portfolio candidate for many equity money managers. If the stock starts to trade below $5 a share, some broker-dealers will not allow investors to buy Quiksilver shares on margin.

The weekly chart is negative but oversold with its five-week MMA at $6.46 with its 200-week SMA at $5.03. A weekly value level is $5.29 with semiannual and monthly risky levels at $7.24 and $7.78, respectively.

Your investment policy among these stocks depends on whether or not you are a buyer on weakness or a seller of strength. We advocate using a good-'til-cancelled limit order to buy weakness to a value level or to sell strength to a risky level.

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