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Water-Logged And Getting Wetter Stock Of The Day: YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF)

Editor's Note: Any reference to TheStreet Ratings and its underlying recommendation does not reflect the opinion of TheStreet, Inc. or any of its contributors including Jim Cramer or Stephanie Link.

Trade-Ideas LLC identified YPF Sociedad Anonima ( YPF) as a "water-logged and getting wetter" (weak stocks crossing below support with today's range greater than 200%) candidate. In addition to specific proprietary factors, Trade-Ideas identified YPF Sociedad Anonima as such a stock due to the following factors:

  • YPF has an average dollar-volume (as measured by average daily share volume multiplied by share price) of $36.6 million.
  • YPF has traded 248,576 shares today.
  • YPF traded in a range 203.3% of the normal price range with a price range of $2.35.
  • YPF traded below its daily resistance level (quality: 30 days, meaning that the stock is crossing a resistance level set by the last 30 calendar days. The resistance price is defined by the Price - $0.01 at the time of the signal).

Stocks matching the 'Water-Logged and Getting Wetter' criteria are worthwhile stocks to watch for a variety of factors including historical back testing and volatility. Trade-Ideas targets these opportunities because the stock is exhibiting an unusual behavior while displaying negative price action. In this case, the stock crossed an important inflection point; namely, "support" while at the same time the range of the stock's movement in price is twice its normal size. This large range foreshadows a possible continuation as the stock moves lower.

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More details on YPF:

YPF Sociedad Anonima, an energy company, is engaged in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) in Argentina. The stock currently has a dividend yield of 0.9%. YPF has a PE ratio of 14.6. Currently there are 2 analysts that rate YPF Sociedad Anonima a buy, 1 analyst rates it a sell, and 1 rates it a hold.

The average volume for YPF Sociedad Anonima has been 1.2 million shares per day over the past 30 days. YPF Sociedad Anonima has a market cap of $11.5 billion and is part of the basic materials sector and energy industry. Shares are down 11.8% year-to-date as of the close of trading on Wednesday.

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TheStreetRatings.com Analysis:

TheStreet Quant Ratings rates YPF Sociedad Anonima as a buy. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its compelling growth in net income, revenue growth, expanding profit margins, good cash flow from operations and notable return on equity. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company has had generally high debt management risk by most measures that we evaluated.

Highlights from the ratings report include:

  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has exceeded that of the S&P 500 and greatly outperformed compared to the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry average. The net income increased by 47.7% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $245.81 million to $363.01 million.
  • Despite its growing revenue, the company underperformed as compared with the industry average of 15.0%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 6.1%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • 37.26% is the gross profit margin for YACIMIENTOS PETE FISCALES SA which we consider to be strong. It has increased from the same quarter the previous year. Regardless of the strong results of the gross profit margin, the net profit margin of 9.39% trails the industry average.
  • Net operating cash flow has increased to $846.09 million or 14.85% when compared to the same quarter last year. Despite an increase in cash flow, YACIMIENTOS PETE FISCALES SA's cash flow growth rate is still lower than the industry average growth rate of 38.60%.
  • The return on equity has improved slightly when compared to the same quarter one year prior. This can be construed as a modest strength in the organization. Compared to other companies in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry and the overall market on the basis of return on equity, YACIMIENTOS PETE FISCALES SA has outperformed in comparison with the industry average, but has underperformed when compared to that of the S&P 500.

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