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How to Bet on Earnings From Amazon, Ford, Microsoft, More


NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Dow Jones Industrial Average components Microsoft (MSFT) and Visa (V) will lead more than a dozen companies reporting quarterly earnings after the closing bell today or before the opening bell on Friday.

Rather than profile each stock individually, I crunch the numbers in the following tables for you.

The biggest year-to-date gainer is Newmont Mining (NEM) ($25.92), up 12.5%. This is quite a surprise for investors, as the gold miner is down 25% over the last 12 months. The stock tested its 200-day simple moving average at $26.20 on Tuesday. Newmont has been below its 200-day SMA since early November 2012. Gold may have a negative weekly chart but Newmont has a positive weekly chart with its five-week modified moving average at $24.43. We show a weekly pivot at $25.05 with an annual risky level at $34.58.

The second biggest year-to-date gainer is Microsoft ($39.69), up 6.1%. Microsoft recently suspended support of the still-popular Windows XP operating system, suggesting that users of XP upgrade to Windows 8.1.

The problem with this is that older PCs will not run this version on Windows. For more on the issue, see my April 7 article, "Will Investors Support Microsoft After It Ends Windows XP Support?" But the short answer is that the end of XP support seems like a bad move for Microsoft. In my judgment Microsoft has left many retailers and small businesses high and dry -- 30% of all personal computers still run on Windows XP.

The weekly Microsoft chart shifts to negative given a weekly close below the five-week MMA at $39.22. Quarterly and annual value levels are $35.05 and $34.02, with weekly and monthly risky levels at $40.57 and $42.77.

The biggest year-to-date loser is Amazon (AMZN) ($324.58), down 18.6%. The stock has been below its 200-day SMA at $342.59 since April 3. It traded as low as $305.50 on April 15. I covered this stock on March 28 in, "Pop! Goes the Momentum Bubble."

Amazon's weekly chart is negative but oversold, with the five-week MMA at $338.02. An annual value level lags at $259.67 with an annual pivot at $334.95, and semiannual risky levels at $351.24 and $359.11.

Down 10.3% year-to-date is Baidu (BIDU) ($159.58) the Chinese-language Internet search provider. Baidu traded to an all-time intraday high at $189.34 on March 7, then plunged to as low as $140.66 on April 7. Now it is positioned above its 200-day simple moving average at $154.16. The weekly chart shifts to positive on a weekly close above its five-week MMA at $158.18. This week's value level is $145.83, with a monthly risky level at $185.01.

Down 10.2% year-to-date is Starbucks (SBUX) ($70.39) has been below its 200-day SMA at $74.88 since April 1, trading as low as $67.93 on April 15. The weekly chart is negative, with its five-week MMA at $71.88. Annual value levels are $53.76 and $41.84, with a weekly pivot at $71.73 and quarterly and semiannual risky levels at $73.50 and $78.52.

Our number-crunching tables follow on page 2.

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