Shareholders of Cummins, Inc. (CMI) looking to boost their income beyond the stock's 1.7% annualized dividend yield can sell the January 2016 covered call at the $195 strike and collect the premium based on the $5.20 bid, which annualizes to an additional 2% rate of return against the current stock price (at Stock Options Channel we call this the YieldBoost), for a total of 3.7% annualized rate in the scenario where the stock is not called away. Any upside above $195 would be lost if the stock rises there and is called away, but CMI shares would have to climb 32.3% from current levels for that to happen, meaning that in the scenario where the stock is called, the shareholder has earned a 35.8% return from this trading level, in addition to any dividends collected before the stock was called.
In general, dividend amounts are not always predictable and tend to follow the ups and downs of profitability at each company. In the case of Cummins, Inc., looking at the dividend history chart for CMI below can help in judging whether the most recent dividend is likely to continue, and in turn whether it is a reasonable expectation to expect a 1.7% annualized dividend yield.
Below is a chart showing CMI's trailing twelve month trading history, with the $195 strike highlighted in red: The chart above, and the stock's historical volatility, can be a helpful guide in combination with fundamental analysis to judge whether selling the January 2016 covered call at the $195 strike gives good reward for the risk of having given away the upside beyond $195. (Do most options expire worthless? This and six other common options myths debunked). We calculate the trailing twelve month volatility for Cummins, Inc. (considering the last 252 trading day closing values as well as today's price of $147.13) to be 22%. For other call options contract ideas at the various different available expirations, visit the CMI Stock Options page of StockOptionsChannel.com. In mid-afternoon trading on Wednesday, the put volume among S&P 500 components was 701,578 contracts, with call volume at 1.20M, for a put:call ratio of 0.58 so far for the day. Compared to the long-term median put:call ratio of .65, that represents high call volume relative to puts; in other words, buyers are showing a preference for calls in options trading so far today. Find out which 15 call and put options traders are talking about today.
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