Updated from 12:22 p.m. to include thoughts from Topeka Capital Markets analyst.
Last quarter, Mountain View, Calif.-based Google earned on a non-GAAP basis $12.01 per share, generating $13.55 billion in revenue, excluding traffic acquisition costs (TAC). In a survey from Thomson Reuters, analysts expect the Internet search giant to earn $12.21 per share on $16.753 billion in sales, including TAC. Excluding TAC, revenue estimates were $13.41 billion.
Google (GOOGL - Get Report) noted that cost-per-click, a key advertising metric, fell 11% year-over-year and 2% sequentially, but that paid clicks, which include clicks related to ads served on Google sites and the sites of our Network members, increased approximately 31% over the fourth quarter of 2012, and 13% sequentially.For this quarter, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are expecting Google to earn $6.40 a share on $15.52 billion in revenue, though that number likely includes traffic acquisition costs (TAC). Generally, analysts exclude TAC to drill down and get a truer number. This will be the last quarter Google has Motorola Mobility dragging down its results, after the company sold Motorola to Lenovo for $2.91 billion in January. Though the company paid $12.5 billion for Motorola, it was able to keep the valuable patents in the deal, and also sold Motorola's set-top box business to Arris (ARRS) in 2012 for $2.35 billion. Shares of Google were higher in Wednesday trading, gaining 2% to $547.29, ahead of the results, due after the close of trading. According to eMarketer, Google accounted for 32% of all digital ad spending worldwide in 2013, up from 31.3% in 2012. The company is holding back Facebook FB in this arena, which had 5.8% of all global digital ad spend in 2013, up from 4.1% in 2012. According to eMarketer, the worldwide digital advertising market totaled $119.84 billion in 2013, and is expected to reach $137.5 billion this year. Aside from the core results, analysts and the media will ask questions on some of Google's other projects, including the recent purchase of Titan Aerospace (which will help Project Loon), YouTube, Google Glass (which went on sale Tuesday) and perhaps Google Fiber, which is already in Kansas City, Austin, Texas and Provo, Utah, and is expanding to 34 additional cities in the near future. Analysts by and large were positive going into the report, with several of them focusing on the company's product listing ads (PLAs), Google's newest advertising venture. Here's what a few of them had to say. Jefferies analyst Brian Pitz (Buy, $700 PT) "Ahead of Google's 1Q print on Wed., we are increasing our price target from $650 to $700 as we remove Motorola's operating losses from the model. We are also modeling the Class C dividend, which is functionally similar to a two-for-one stock split. For the qtr., traffic trends look solid and our proprietary Product Listing Ad (PLA) checks suggest marketers are continuing to invest heavily in PLAs." "According to Kenshoo, 29% of marketers are allocating new, incremental budgets to support their PLA campaigns, and 83% of marketers find PLA performance to be on-par or better than traditional search ads. Given this kind of return on investment for advertisers, we believe Google likely benefited as retailers pointed people to their online stores. Interesting US movers include Rakuten (from #20 to #2), Sephora (#4,955 to #18), Marin (#29 to #19), Walmart (#10 to #7), and Aliexpress (Alibaba, #585 to #105)."
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