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#DigitalSkeptic: Sorry, But Books Will Be Like Netflix, With Revenue as Cliffhanger

Stocks in this article: AMZN NFLX

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Flat-rate subscription pricing is turning e-books into a digital-age white knuckler.

"These new subscription services all sit around and sing kumbaya about how great it is going to be for everybody," Ian Lamont, founder and publisher of Boston-based i30 Media, told me over the phone a month or so back. "But these models only work under certain circumstances in the publishing industry."

Lamont knows the e-publisher backstory. The man's done serious publishing gigs at International Data Group, Harvard University and The Industry Standard. After a stint as an MIT Sloan Fellow, in 2012 he launched i30 Media as an e-book and print publishing house for fast-to-market, easy-to-digest In 30 Minutes guides that give readers a helping hand with common but wonky apps such as Dropbox, Google Drive and Excel.

Unlike me, Lamont never lost faith in a happy ending for e-books. He relishes tinkering with the business models behind i30 Media, which he says has been profitable since its second month.

"I have tried everything I can think of to get the business right," he said. "I even released the exact same title at two different prices to see the tolerance for prices for e-books or the same book in print."

But when the conversation wound around to the new flock of uber-hip, flat-rate, Netflix-like subscription e-book services such as Scribd, Entitle or Oyster, which just raised a cool $14 million from Highland Capital Partners e, the eternal new-media optimist became, well ... just like me.

"I have heard about these new subscription book models for years," he said. "And it concerns me greatly that they are coming to publishing."

Flat-rate Netflix pricing flattens publishing
Lamont cuts right to the crux of the dark investor narrative looming in renting access to e-books for a flat monthly fee. He points out aptly that -- just as with Netflix for movies or Pandora for music -- competition in the subscription book biz is up. And profit margins are probably down. Late last year, early subscription e-book provider Reteah in Wilmington, N.C., rebranded itself as Entitle, basically as a lower-priced book service. Two books would now be available starting at $9.99 per month. That roughly $5 per book is about 20% lower than the $6.25 average price of the Kindle bestseller list I found on Amazon.

New York-based Oyster shows just how shameless the e-publishing race to the bottom has become. It offers utterly unlimited access to more than 100,000 titles for the same $9.99 per month. And there's San Francisco-based Scribd, which sets the low bar for e-book value: All of its 300,000-plus books are available for just $8.99 per month.

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