This Day On The Street
Continue to site
This account is pending registration confirmation. Please click on the link within the confirmation email previously sent you to complete registration.
Need a new registration confirmation email? Click here

Apple and IBM Remain Must-See Charts

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- When fundamental analysts say that no one should look at a price chart of a stock, I argue that their opinion is like driving 70 miles an hour on the interstate in a dense fog -- you will crash!

What fundamental analysts don't realize that when they expect P/E multiple expansion they are predicting market momentum for a stock. I say P/E ratios are worthless in evaluating a stock. If you are worried about P/E ratios that are way to high you missed out on today's momentum stocks such as (AMZN) with its 12-month forward earnings per share of 179.04, or Netflix (NFLX) with a P/E of 95.15, or Tesla Motors (TSLA) with a P/E of 112.88.

A much better discipline in analyzing a stock is to look at the past price action on daily and weekly charts as price history sets patterns that can predict future price movement regardless of P/E ratio.

My "Crunching the Numbers" approach uses daily and weekly charts and proprietary analytics I developed in the fourth quarter of 1987, after the stock market crash. My objective was to find a methodology that results in the fewest false signals.

Must Read: Investors Should Beware of Citron Research, Plug Power

To review, on daily bar charts I use 21-day, 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages where I consider the 200-day as the "reversion to the mean" over a rolling 12-month horizon. On weekly charts I use a five-week modified moving average and a 200-week SMA as a longer-term "reversion to the mean" over a rolling three- to five-year horizon. Both charts have a momentum study called slow stochastics. The most important is the 12x3x3 weekly slow stochastic which scales 00.00 to 100.00. A reading below 20.00 is oversold and a reading above 80.00 is overbought. A rising stochastic is positive while a declining stochastic is negative.

In addition, I developed my own proprietary analytics that crunches the last nine closes in five time horizons; weekly (W), monthly (M), quarterly (Q), semiannual (S) and annual (A) on the theory that nine years of closes are enough to anticipate the market reaction to all possible bullish or bearish events for a stock, index, bond yield, commodity or foreign exchange combo.

Back on Jan. 24, 2014 I wrote Apple and IBM Have Must-See Charts and now I provide updated analysis for both of these stocks.

1 of 2

Check Out Our Best Services for Investors

Action Alerts PLUS

Portfolio Manager Jim Cramer and Director of Research Jack Mohr reveal their investment tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.

Product Features:
  • $2.5+ million portfolio
  • Large-cap and dividend focus
  • Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
Quant Ratings

Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.

Product Features:
  • Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
  • Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
  • A custom stock screener
Stocks Under $10

David Peltier uncovers low dollar stocks with serious upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.

Product Features:
  • Model portfolio
  • Stocks trading below $10
  • Intraday trade alerts
14-Days Free
Only $9.95
14-Days Free
Dividend Stock Advisor

David Peltier identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.

Product Features:
  • Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
  • Updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Trifecta Stocks

Every recommendation goes through 3 layers of intense scrutiny—quantitative, fundamental and technical analysis—to maximize profit potential and minimize risk.

Product Features:
  • Model Portfolio
  • Intra Day Trade alerts
  • Access to Quant Ratings
Real Money

More than 30 investing pros with skin in the game give you actionable insight and investment ideas.

Product Features:
  • Access to Jim Cramer's daily blog
  • Intraday commentary and news
  • Real-time trading forums
Only $49.95
14-Days Free
14-Days Free
AAPL $92.72 -0.56%
IBM $147.29 1.53%
FB $119.49 1.43%
GOOG $711.12 1.38%
TSLA $214.93 1.61%


Chart of I:DJI
DOW 17,740.63 +79.92 0.45%
S&P 500 2,057.14 +6.51 0.32%
NASDAQ 4,736.1550 +19.0610 0.40%

Free Reports

Top Rated Stocks Top Rated Funds Top Rated ETFs