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How Investors Can Beat the Winter Blues

Stocks in this article: SPY

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- In addition to being personally disruptive and annoying, the harsh winter weather is having an impact on economic activity. Recent reports on jobless claims, job creation and leading economic indicators have all been impacted by the repeated snow storms and severe weather that has plagued much of our nation.

  • Jobless claims have fallen more than anticipated. The consensus agrees that this is weather related.
  • Job creation has been suppressed. The conventional wisdom says that this is weather related.
While the above two points may seem positive and have bullish implications -- they'll revert to the norm after the weather improves -- but they have had a real drag on economic growth.
  • As a result of bad weather, Q1 2014 GDP growth will likely be revised down.
  • As weather moderates, even if it's just briefly, expect a spike in jobless claims as a result of the backlog.
  • Unemployment figures could uptick later in February, surprising investors.

Investors can beat these winter blues by remembering that although the economic effect of the severe weather is real, it is also temporary.

As such, investors should not panic or fall prey to fearmongers who will be quick to blame the implementation of Obamacare, Emerging market instability or Fed policy as the root cause of the downturn.

What should investors be concerned about?

  • Staying focused on their long-term objectives.
  • Reviewing their portfolio holdings on a monthly basis to ensure that each investment still fits the goals it was meant to fulfill.
  • Being emotionally detached. Don't fall into the trap of "I'll hold onto the stock until it gets back to what I paid for it."
  • Understanding that the lack of volatility in 2013 was abnormal. Ergo, expect more market volatility and embrace it.

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