Looking Back at 2000

12/30/00 - 12:30 AM EST

Gary B. Smith

Ever since I started this column, I've taken time out early each year for an in-depth review of the past 12 months. This review has always taken the form of an "interview" -- with the questioner being none other than myself.

In fact, this is something I've been doing for the past 25 years, with a written record going back quite a while. (Upon quick review, 99% of my early years seemed to focus entirely on my dating life. It's as if I never had a job until I got married!)

This interview, which will span this weekend and next, also serves to update many of you on where I am with my trading, and what changes and modifications I've made. In addition, I've included a healthy dose of personal information, as this has had a direct impact on my success this past year. I always enjoy doing these columns because they're therapeutic. I hope you enjoy reading them.



Q: So, GBS, Mr. Chartman, da Crusher, and lord-knows-what, I'll let you have the opening salvo. Tell me about your year.

GBS: OK, here goes. In short, the year 2000 ... stunk.

Q: Wow. Any specific reason?

GBS: Well, let's put it this way: You know those lists you always see that name the top 10 stress producers?

Q: You mean like losing your job, moving, etc?

GBS: Right. I think in the past 24 months I've experienced just about every single one, either directly or indirectly, with most coming to a head this past year.

Q: Sounds depressing. Any specifics you want to share?

GBS: No, most of the stuff is very personal, and I'm sure the readers struggle with their own problems. Let's just say I'm happy to move on to 2001.

Q: Then without getting specific, did the problems you encountered this past year affect your trading?

GBS: I honestly don't know. I do know that my worst period was April to August, and that was also a very stressful time for me. So, while I'd like to think I could separate my trading from the rest of my life, maybe I wasn't seeing things as clearly as I might have.

Q: The market was very choppy during that period. And you pretty much have a trending method. Do you think that was the problem?

GBS: Oh, it might have been that. But I've always adapted well in choppy markets. No, maybe in thinking about it, I should have just taken that time off completely. I mean, there were a few nice trends during those months that I completely failed to capitalize on.

Q: That makes me wonder: During that period, did you think about taking time off?

GBS: Yes, on occasion, a little voice would whisper that I should take a few weeks vacation. And, in fact, there were a few days I did take off because I just couldn't muster the energy to go through even five charts, let alone 500.

Q: Yes, but you continued to write nearly seven days a week during that time. Surely that must have been difficult?

GBS: Honestly -- and most writers will tell you this -- after you have the first few words down, you enter a different world, and it's easy. But, boy, there were a few days I'd do nothing but stare at the screen for hours. I was not a happy camper.

Q: But you seem OK now. So how'd you get from being an unhappy camper to where you are today?

GBS: I am extremely, extremely fortunate to have a small number of very good friends. Some are traders, some aren't, but they all understand both my personal and business life, and did what great friends do -- they listened.

Q: So your friends helped get you through a rough patch?

GBS: Right, and that support structure, if you will, is something everyone needs, most especially traders. Most traders are essentially flying solo. I think that's good for the most part, but every once in a while, you just need to vent to a real live person.

Q: Agreed. Now, all that aside, though, what was your final year-end tally?

GBS: Net of commissions, I was up about 40%.

Q: Well, that's not too bad, all things considered. Are you happy with that, though?

GBS: No. In fact, I'm not happy at all. It was a dreadful performance.

Q: Well, the numbers aren't too bad. Why do you say dreadful?

GBS: Oh, I had a bang-up year going into the first quarter, like everyone else. And in the last quarter, I was fine. However, like I said earlier, it was the middle of the year where I just stunk. And what really irritates me is that we had a beautiful trending market -- albeit downward -- for the better part of that, and I just didn't take advantage of it as I should have.

Gary B. Smith is a freelance writer who trades for his own account from his Maryland home using technical analysis. He writes five technical analysis columns for TheStreet.com each week, including Technician's Take and TSC Technical Forum. While he cannot provide investment advice or recommendations, he invites you to send your feedback to Gary B. Smith.
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