NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Morgan Stanley (MS) may face tougher scrutiny than usual from investors when it reports fourth quarter earnings before the market opens on Friday, as its shares were the clear sector leader in the fourth quarter of 2013, gaining 16.36% despite returns on equity that lag both peers and the bank's historical performance.
Analysts are looking for earnings of 44 cents a share on revenue of $8 billion, compared to 50 cents on $7.9 billion in the third quarter and 45 cents on $7 billion in revenue in the fourth quarter of 2012.
Investors have been willing to excuse lackluster return on equity because the company has been focusing on businesses viewed as likely to produce consistently solid results. Still, there are signs the positive view of the stock may be wearing off.
Deutsche Bank analyst Matt O'Connor downgraded Morgan Stanley last month, arguing the turnaround under CEO James Gorman was now mostly priced in.
O'Connor also downgraded Citigroup (C) in the same report, a move that proved prescient ahead of disappointing results from Citi on Thursday.
Morgan Stanley should get a boost, however, from investing deposits it receives from Citigroup as part of its acquisition of Citi's Smith Barney wealth management business. As for expenses, an area that has long been a problem due to highly paid investment bankers and traders, Hintz isn't optimistic. "Morgan Stanley still has a compensation issue in its institutional business," he said. -- Written by Dan Freed in New York. Follow @dan_freed
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