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Micron Tech, Constellation Brands Pop on Earnings Reports

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- This week's earnings reports continue a troubling pattern that I began to observe in December when I profiled 15 stocks pre-earnings on Dec. 17 and Dec. 18 in Lennar, Oracle on Deck to Report Earnings and Walgreen, CarMax and Nike Earnings Preview. With the major averages still moving towards new highs there were only six winners and nine losers with the losers slumping more than the winners gains.

This week on Monday, I wrote, Alcoa, Family Dollar, Micron Signal Earnings Season and profiled nine companies pre-earnings and only two were clear winners. Micron (MU) popped 11.5% from its Jan. 3 close to this morning's open and Constellation Brands (STZ) continued to inflate its parabolic bubble gaining 11.8% between Jan. 3 and this morning's open.

The biggest losers declined more than the percentages the winners gained as Ruby Tuesday (RT) lost 12.3% between Jan. 3 and today's open and Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) took a bath plunging 13.1% on their trip to the earnings woodshed.

Here are my post-earnings buy-and-trade profiles for the nine stocks that I profiled on Monday:

Alcoa (AA) ($9.98 at today's open vs. $10.69 on Jan. 3 down 5.6%) missed earnings per share estimates by 2 cents earning 4 cents a share in the after-hours on Thursday. The stock traded as low as $9.83 this morning after setting a new multi-year intra-day high at $10.90 during the trading session on Thursday. A negative reaction did not come as a surprise as the stock has a sell rating according to ValuEngine, is 27.3% overvalued with a gain of 17.7% over the last 12 months and an elevated price to earnings ratio at 30.5. The weekly chart profile is positive but overbought with the five-week modified moving average at $9.97 and its 200-week simple moving average at $10.96, which was nearly tested at the high. My quarterly and monthly value levels are $9.58 and $9.33 with a weekly pivot at $10.61 which was exceeded at the high, and a semiannual risky level at $12.33.

Bed Bath and Beyond ($69.92 at today's open vs. $80.48 on Jan. 3 down 13.1%) missed EPS estimates by 3 cents earning $1.12 per share in the after-hours on Wednesday. The stock was plunged below its 200-day SMA at $73.51 on Thursday to a low of $68.83 after setting an all-time intra-day high at $80.82 on Jan. 3. The retailer of home products maintains a buy rating is 1.3% overvalued with a gain of 23.2% over the last 12 months. The weekly chart profile shifts to negative given a close today below its five-week MMA at $76.47 and its 200-week SMA at $58.76. My annual value level is $64.99 with quarterly and semiannual risky levels at $79.77, $82.61 and $84.02.

Family Dollar (FDO) ($64.55 at today's open vs. $66.41 on Jan. 3 down 2.8%) missed EPS estimates by a penny earning 68 cents in the pre-market on Thursday. The stock was testing its 200-day SMA at $66.79 on Jan. 3 and slumped to a low of $60.89 and then recovered to close Thursday at $64.97. The discount retailer maintains a buy rating is 3.3% overvalued with a gain of 14.9% over the last 12 months. The weekly chart shifts to positive give a close today above its five-week MMA at $66.44 and its 200-week SMA is at $56.71. My annual value level is $64.81 became a magnet explaining in part the rebound in the stock. My lower annual value level is $49.44 with the annual pivot at $64.81 and quarterly and monthly risky levels at $71.85 and $72.86.

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