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Doug Kass: 15 Surprises for 2014 (Part 3)

Five Also-Ran Surprises

Also-Ran Surprise No. 1: Changes seen at CNBC, NBC, CNN and Fox Business.

  • Michelle Caruso-Cabrera joins Fox Business as the morning anchor.
  • Erin Burnett (congratulations on your new baby boy!) leaves CNN and rejoins CNBC.
  • Carl Quintanilla leaves CNBC and permanently joins NBC's "The Today Show."

Strategy: None.

Also-Ran Surprise No. 2: Crude oil trades at $75 a barrel.

A quiescent period of Middle East peace, more U.S. energy discoveries (and an increased pace of energy independence) and slowing global economic growth adversely impact energy prices.

Strategy: Short crude oil and energy stocks.

Also-Ran Surprise No. 3: Despite lower stock prices the VIX trades under 10.

Strategy: Short VIX

Also-Ran Surprise No. 4: Gold trades under $1,000 an ounce.

Strategy: Short SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) and gold miner shares

Also-Ran Surprise No. 5: Carl Icahn's fund loses 15% to 20%.

He is only human.

Strategy: None.

This column originally appeared on Real Money Pro at 9:18 a.m. EST on Jan. 6.

At the time of publication, Doug Kass was long AAMC, C, TLT, BAB, BTT, ETX, BKN, NQS, NPM, NAD, NMO, NMA, VPV, VCV, NQU, NPI, NRK and MONI.L; short SBUX, BRK.B, QQQ and SPY, although holdings can change at any time.

Doug Kass is the president of Seabreeze Partners Management Inc.
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