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Alcoa, Family Dollar, Micron Signal Earnings Season

Family Dollar ($66.41) will report quarterly results premarket on Jan. 9 and analysts expect the discount retailer  to report earnings of 69 cents a share. The stock traded to an all-time intra-day high at $75.29 back on Sept. 19 then traded as low as $62.84 on Dec. 18 and ended last week just below its 200-day SMA at $66.69. The company has a buy rating and is 5.9% overvalued with a gain of 19.1% over the last 12 months. The weekly chart profile is negative but oversold with the five-week MMA at $66.80 and its 200-week SMA at $56.56. My annual value level is $64.81 with quarterly and monthly risky levels at $71.85 and $72.86.

Monsanto (MON)($116.35) will report quarterly results premarket on Jan. 8 and analysts expect the company to report earnings of 63 cents a share. The stock traded to a multi-year intra-day high at $117.50 on Jan.2. The agricultural products company has a sell rating is 27.5% overvalued with a gain of 22% over the last 12 months. The weekly chart profile is positive but overbought with the five-week MMA at $112.56 and its 200-week SMA at $80.16. My monthly value level is $104.69 with quarterly and annual risky levels at $127.73, $129.57 and $135.68.

Micron Tech ($20.97) will report quarterly results afterhours on Jan. 7 and analysts expect the semiconductor company to report earnings of 43 cents a share. The stock traded to a multi-year intra-day high at $23.67 on Dec. 9. The company has a hold rating and is 36.3% overvalued with a gain of 203.9% over the last 12 months. The weekly chart profile is positive but overbought with the five-week MMA at $20.77 and its 200-week SMA at $9.26. My quarterly value level is $18.60 with a monthly risky level at $24.48.

Ruby Tuesday (RT)($7.00) will report quarterly results afterhours on Jan. 8 and analysts expect a loss of 21 cents a share. The stock traded to a 2013 low at $5.40 on Oct. 28 and is now between its 50-day SMA at $6.60 and $7.89. The casual dinning restaurant chain has a hold rating is 72.8% overvalued with a loss of 15.7% over the last 12 months. The weekly chart profile is positive with the five-week MMA at $6.89 and its 200-week SMA at $8.97. My monthly value level is $5.34 with a quarterly risky level at $8.44.

Sonic (SONC)($19.72) will report quarterly results afterhours on Jan. 6 and analysts expect earnings of 14 cents a share. The stock traded to a multi-year intra-day high at $21.48 on Dec. 9 and is just below its 50-day SMA at $19.88 with its 200-day SMA at $16.28. The drive-though restaurant chain has a buy rating is 44.8% overvalued with a gain of 83.6% over the last 12 months. The weekly chart profile is neutral with overbought momentum with the stock below its five-week MMA at $20.00. My semiannual value level is $14.51 with quarterly and monthly risky levels at $20.81 and $22.19.

Constellation Brands ($69.39) will report quarterly results premarket on Jan. 8 and analysts expect the alcohol and beer company to report earnings of 91 cents a share. The stock traded to an all-time intra-day high at $71.62 on Dec. 11 and has moved sideways since then with its 50-day SMA at $68.56 and its 200-day SMA at $57.04. The beverage company has a hold rating is 26.8% overvalued with a gain of 89.1% over the last 12 months. The weekly chart profile is positive but overbought with the five-week MMA at $68.66 in what looks like a parabolic bubble. My semiannual value level is $58.42 with a quarterly risky level at $71.84.

Texas Industries($66.95) will report quarterly results afterhours on Jan. 8 and analysts expect a loss of 23 cents a share. The stock traded to a multi-year intra-day high at $75.30 on May 22 then traded as low as $53.25 on Oct. 21 and is now above its 200-day SMA at $62.44. The supplier of construction materials has a strong sell rating is 4.5% overvalued with a gain of 22.5% over the last 12 months. The weekly chart profile is positive with the five-week MMA at $63.34 and its 200-week SMA at $43.61. Monthly and semiannual value levels are $63.67 and $62.89 with a quarterly risky level at $70.44.

At the time of publication the author held no positions in any of the stocks mentioned.

Follow @Suttmeier

This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.

Richard Suttmeier is the chief market strategist at ValuEngine.com. He has been a professional in the U.S. Capital Markets since 1972, transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world.

Suttmeier has an engineering degree from Georgia Tech and a Master of Science degree from Brooklyn Poly. He began his career in the financial services industry in 1972 trading U.S. Treasury securities in the primary dealer community. He became the first long bond trader for Bache in 1978, and formed the Government Bond Department at LF Rothschild in 1981, helping establish that firm as a primary dealer in 1986. This experience gives him the insights to be an expert on monetary policy, which he features in his newsletters, and market commentary.

Suttmeier's industry licenses include, Series 7 and Registered Principal (Series 24). He has been the Chief Market Strategist for ValuEngine.com since 2008 and often appears on financial TV.

Click here for details on Suttmeier's "Buy and Trade" investment strategy.

Richard Suttmeier can be reached at RSuttmeier@Gmail.com
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