Regions Financial Leads Banks as Consumer Confidence Rises
NEW YORK (
TheStreet) -- Regions Financial led major U.S. banks higher on Monday, with shares rising 2% to close at $9.82.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average
The Commerce Department also said that personal income was up 0.2% during November after a 0.1% decline in October, when the federal government was partially shut down for two weeks.
The personal consumption growth number for November matched the consensus estimate among economists polled by Thomson Reuters, while the growth number for personal income was well below the 0.5% forecasted by economists.
Also on Monday, the Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for December came in at a final reading 82.5, revised from the previous number of 75.1, for the best reading since July.
Sterne Agee chief economist Lindsey Piegza on Monday wrote in a client note that the decline in the U.S. personal savings rate to 4.2% -- the lowest level since February -- suggested a rise in consumer confidence, but warned that if the "reduced safety net" from lower savings "is met with a much harsher reality than expected, it will be much more difficult to maintain current consumption levels."
"Consumers are feeling more optimistic in the final month of the year thanks in part to a heightened ability to spend with equity markets at all time highs fueling a wealth effect and cheaper gasoline costs providing relief to monthly budgets. Additionally, rising property values are helping support consumers' optimistic assessment of future conditions. Still, in order to maintain this heightened confidence level and positive spending patterns, expectations will need to turn into reality sooner rather than later," Piegza warned.
The "Santa Clause rally" has been driven by the Federal Open Market Committee's decision last Wednesday to taper the Federal Reserve's "QE3" purchases of long-term bonds to $75 billion a month from $85 billion, starting in January, as well as the revision on Friday of the estimated U.S. gross domestic product growth rate to an annual rate of 4.1% from 3.6%.
The latest upward revision to the GDP growth rate also adds confidence in the 7.0% U.S. unemployment rate for November, which was a significant improvement from 7.3% in October.
The KBW Bank Index (I:BKX) on Monday rose 0.9% to 68.97, with all 24 index components ending with gains. The index has risen 34%, following a 30% gain in 2012, underlying an amazing recovery for the banking sector.
Shares of Regions Financial of Birmingham, Ala., have returned 39% this year. The shares trade for 1.4 times tangible book value, according to Thomson Reuters Bank Insight. The shares trade for 11.7 times the consensus 2014 earnings estimate of 84 cents a share and for 10.9 times the consensus 2015 EPS estimate of 90 cents.
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