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Oracle Rises to the Cloud, While Jabil Goes to the Woodshed


Jabil Circuit ($16.12 vs. $19.68 on Dec. 16 plunging 18.1%) beat EPS estimates by 16 cents earning 63 cents a share in the afterhours on Tuesday. The company missed on the revenue line and lowered forward guidance and the stock plunged to a low of $15.30 on Wednesday well below its 200-day SMA at $20.64 last tested on Dec. 9. The provider of circuit board manufacturing services still has a buy rating, is 9.9% overvalued and has lost 19.2% over the last 12 months. This week's value level is $15.85 with and annual value level at $14.28 and monthly and quarterly risky levels at $23.10 and $23.40.

KB Home (KBH)($16.91 vs. $17.02 on Tuesday slipping 0.6%) missed EPS estimated by 14 cents earning 31 cents premarket on Thursday. The stock ended the week just below its 50-day SMA at $17.04 with the 200-day SMA at $19.06. The homebuilder is sell rated and 7.5% overvalued with a gain of 8.4% over the last 12 months. Weekly and monthly value levels are $16.50 and $15.60 with an annual risky level at $22.95.

CarMax (KMX) ($48.08 vs. $51.75 on Tuesday down 7.1%) missed EPS estimates by a penny earning 47 cents a share premarket on Friday. The stock gapped lower to $47.52 moving below its 50-day SMA at $49.43 but staying above its 200-day SMA at $47.33. The seller of used cars has a buy rating is 22.9% overvalued with a gain of 26.6% over the last 12 months. My semiannual pivots are $50.94 and $50.77 with a quarterly risky level at $52.09.

Lennar ($37.38 vs. $35.00 on Dec. 16 up 6.8%) beat EPS estimates by 9 cents earning 73 cents a share premarket on Wednesday. The stock rebounded above its 200-day SMA at $36.75 to a day's high at $37.79. The homebuilder remains sell rated is 9% overvalued and slipped 4.9% over the last 12 months. This week's value level is $33.35 with a semiannual pivot at $35.45 and my semiannual risky level at $40.29.

Herman Miller (MLHR) ($28.79 vs. $29.26 down 1.6%) beat EPS estimates by a penny earning 42 cents a share in the afterhours on Wednesday. The stock drifted lower but stayed above its 200-day SMA at $27.83. The manufacturer of office furniture is 16.5% overvalued with a gain of 37.6% over the last 12 months. My annual value level is $24.37 with semiannual pivots at $28.80 and $29.09, monthly and quarterly pivots at $29.48 and $29.68 and annual risky level at $30.39.

Nike Inc (NKE) ($77.34 vs. $76.76 on Tuesday up 0.8%) beat EPS estimates by a penny earning 59 cents a share in the afterhours on Thursday. The stock traded down to $76.64 on Friday then closed above its 50-day SMA at $77.15 and is well above its 200-day SMA at $66.88. The hold rated maker of athletic shoes and apparel is 34% overvalued with a gain of 56.2% over the last 12 months. My quarterly value level is $71.62 with a monthly risky level at $79.07.

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