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Dollar General, Diamond Foods and Mattress Firm Are Earnings Winners

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Last week I profiled 16 retail-oriented companies pre-earnings on Dec. 2 and Wednesday. Today I provide a scorecard for the eight that did not go to the earnings woodshed. Discount retailer Dollar General (DG) beat earnings estimates and traded to a new all-time intra-day high at $61.20 on Monday. Investors went nuts as Diamond Foods (DMND) beat estimates and set a 52-week intra-day high at $26.23 on Friday. The other winner was Mattress Firm (MFRM) which beat estimates and popped above its 200-day simple moving average at $36.24 trading as high as $41.83 on Friday.

Among the 16 stocks I profiled last Monday and Wednesday, only four traded higher by Monday's close, but the gain for Jos. A Bank (JOSB) was just 0.2%. The other four in today's scorecard lost between 0.4% and 4.0%. On Monday I wrote, Ulta Salon, Krispy Kreme, Express Lead Retailers to Earnings Woodshed and this group of eight fell in price by 7.1% to 25% into Friday's closes.

Among the eight stocks in today's post, four have buy ratings, three have hold ratings and one has a strong sell rating. Among the six with valuations three are overvalued by 29.2% to 43.4%. All eight have price gains of 30.9% to 95.8% over the last 12 months. All eight are above their 200-day SMAs indicating the risk of a reversion to the mean.

Dollar General ($61.08 vs. $56.48 on Dec. 3) beat EPS estimates by 2 cents earning 72 cents a share premarket on Dec. 5. The buy rated stock popped above its 50-day SMA at $58.17 setting a new multi-year intra-day high at $61.20 on Monday and up 8.1% since Dec.3. The discount retailer is 17.2% overvalued and has gained 31.2% over the last 12 months and has been above its 200-day SMA now at $54.02 since March 20. My monthly and semiannual value levels are $58.77 and $56.97 with my quarterly risky level at $62.53.

Diamond Foods ($26.01 vs. $23.41 on Dec. 3) beat EPS estimates by a penny earning 18 cents a share in the afterhours on Thursday. The hold rated stock set a new 52-week intra-day high at $26.23 on Friday ending Monday up 11.1% since Dec. 3. The distributor of nuts such as peanuts, cashews, walnuts and almonds is 43.4% overvalued and has gained 95.4% over the last 12 months and has been above its 200-day SMA now at $19.80 since June 10. My monthly pivot is $25.33 with weekly risky level at $26.98.

Isle Of Capri Casinos (ISLE) ($8.05 vs. $8.13 on Nov. 29) missed EPS estimates by 11 cents reporting a loss of 17 cents a share in the premarket on Dec. 5. The hold rated stock was downgraded to strong sell but stayed above its 200-day SMA at $7.49 down just 1.0% since Nov. 29. The owner of branded gaming and lodging establishments is 11.4% overvalued and has gained 58.8% over the last 12 months. My annual value level is $5.54 with monthly and quarterly risky levels at $8.08 and $8.35.

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