This Day On The Street
Continue to site right-arrow
This account is pending registration confirmation. Please click on the link within the confirmation email previously sent you to complete registration.
Need a new registration confirmation email? Click here
Stocks Under $10 with 50-100% upside potential - 14 days FREE!

Citigroup Still Loved by KBW, Despite Downgrades

Stocks in this article: C BAC JPM WFC

NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- While two competing firms this week cut their ratings on Citigroup (C), KBW analyst Frederick Cannon is keeping the faith, calling Citi "a compelling investment, on both an absolute and relative basis."

Cannon rates Citigroup "outperform," with a $58 price target, representing potential upside of 14% over the next 12 months from the stock's closing price of $51.06 on Thursday.

Goldman Sachs analyst Richard Ramsden on Tuesday downgraded Citigroup to a neutral rating from a "buy" rating, writing in a client note that efficiency improvements and the continued wind-down of runoff subsidiary Citi Holdings was already baked into the share price.  With "less 'low hanging fruit' to improve returns from here, we believe current valuation more accurately reflects Citi's core earnings power," he wrote.  Despite the neutral rating, Ramsden's price target for Citigroup is $60, which his higher than Cannon's price target. 

On Wednesday, Deutsche Bank analyst Matt O'Connor downgraded Citigroup to a "hold" rating from a "buy" rating, as part of his advice to investors to cut risk in advance of the Federal Reserve's tapering of "QE3" bond purchasesQE3 tapering, and in light of continued headline risk from regulatory actions such as the finalization of the Volcker Rule expected next week.  O'Connor also lowered his price target for citi's shares to $56 from $61.00.

Cannon in a client note on Thursday wrote, "On an absolute basis, the stock trades below tangible book value and has a management team focused on improved profitability and on making the company smaller, simpler and safer which is in line with regulatory demands."

Citigroup's return on average assets (ROA) for the first three quarters of 2013 was 0.80% and its return on average tangible common equity (ROTCE) was 8.95%, according to Thomson Reuters Bank Insight.  "If C can achieve its stated financial goals by 2015 of 90 to 110 basis point ROA and 10% ROTCE shares should trade meaningfully higher," according to Cannon.

"On a relative basis, C is the only large-cap U.S. bank still trading below tangible book value, yet has one of the strongest capital positions," Cannon added.  Here's a quick comparison of stock price multiples, ROA and ROTCE for the "big four" U.S. banks.

Citigroup's shares trade for 0.9 times tangible book value, according to Thomson Reuters Bank Insight, and for  9.4 times the consensus 2014 earnings estimate of $5.41 a share.  The consensus 2015 EPS estimate is $5.95.

Here's a quick comparison of stock price multiples, ROA and ROTCE for the other members of the "big four" group of U.S. banks:

  • Shares of JPMorgan Chase (JPM) closed at $55.82 Thursday and traded for 1.5 times tangible book value and 9.3 times the consensus 2014 EPS estimate of $6.01.  The consensus 2015 EPS estimate is $6.36.  The company's ROA for the first three quarters of 2013 was 0.71% and its ROTCE was 11.59%.  JPMorgan's returns reflected the company's third-quarter loss, brought about by a $9.15 billion provision for litigation reserves.
  • Bank of America (BAC) closed at $15.43 Thursday and traded for 1.2 times tangible book value and 11.5 times the consensus 2014 EPS estimate of $1.34.  The consensus 2015 EPS estimate is $1.60.  The bank's ROA for the first three quarters of 2013 was 0.49% and its ROTCE was 7.44%.
  • Wells Fargo's (WFC) stock closed at $43.25 Thursday and traded for 2.2 times tangible book value and 10.8 times the consensus 2014 EPS estimate of $4.01.  The consensus 2015 EPS estimate is $4.23.  Wells Fargo ROA for the first three quarters of 2013 was 1.52% and its ROTCE was 17.86%.
Those valuations show that investors are looking ahead, with expectations for accelerating economic growth.  Bank of America's stock trades at the highest forward price-to-earnings valuation for the group, despite having the weakest earnings performance this year.

1 of 2

Select the service that is right for you!

Action Alerts PLUS
Try it NOW

Jim Cramer and Stephanie Link actively manage a real portfolio and reveal their money management tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.

Product Features:
  • $2.5+ million portfolio
  • Large-cap and dividend focus
  • Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
  • Weekly roundups
TheStreet Quant Ratings
Try it NOW
Only $49.95/yr

Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.

Product Features:
  • Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
  • Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
  • A custom stock screener
  • Upgrade/downgrade alerts
Stocks Under $10
Try it NOW

David Peltier, uncovers low dollar stocks with extraordinary upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.

Product Features:
  • Model portfolio
  • Stocks trading below $10
  • Intraday trade alerts
  • Weekly roundups
Dividend Stock Advisor
Try it NOW

Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.

Product Features:
  • Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
  • Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
  • Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Real Money Pro
Try it NOW

All of Real Money, plus 15 more of Wall Street's sharpest minds delivering actionable trading ideas, a comprehensive look at the market, and fundamental and technical analysis.

Product Features:
  • Real Money + Doug Kass Plus 15 more Wall Street Pros
  • Intraday commentary & news
  • Ultra-actionable trading ideas
Options Profits
Try it NOW

Our options trading pros provide daily market commentary and over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.

Product Features:
  • 100+ monthly options trading ideas
  • Actionable options commentary & news
  • Real-time trading community
  • Options TV
To begin commenting right away, you can log in below using your Disqus, Facebook, Twitter, OpenID or Yahoo login credentials. Alternatively, you can post a comment as a "guest" just by entering an email address. Your use of the commenting tool is subject to multiple terms of service/use and privacy policies - see here for more details.
Submit an article to us!


DOW 17,804.80 +26.65 0.15%
S&P 500 2,070.65 +9.42 0.46%
NASDAQ 4,765.38 +16.9840 0.36%

Brokerage Partners

Rates from

  • Mortgage
  • Credit Cards
  • Auto

Free Newsletters from TheStreet

My Subscriptions:

After the Bell

Before the Bell

Booyah! Newsletter

Midday Bell

TheStreet Top 10 Stories

Winners & Losers

Register for Newsletters
Top Rated Stocks Top Rated Funds Top Rated ETFs