This list was compiled by looking at the year-to-date total returns -- assuming the reinvestment of dividends -- of the 24 components of the KBW Bank Index (I:BKX), along with other large-cap banks not included in the index, such as Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs(GS), Discover Financial (DFS) and CIT Group (CIT).
The banking industry has seen a remarkable recovery, with the KBW Bank Index rising 33% this year through Wednesday's close at 68.05, followoing a 30% gain during 2012. Banks have outpaced the broad market, with the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rising 27% this year, following an increase of 13% during 2012.
Here are some quick data points for the four large-cap bank stocks faring worst so far during 2013. The return numbers below may differ from those on the chart, which will include today's price action.
Northern Trust (NTRS) of Chicago has been the weakest performer during 2013 among large-cap U.S. banks, with what in fairness could only be described as an excellent year-to-date return of 19% through Wednesday's close at $58.94. Based on a quarterly payout of 31 cents, the shares have a dividend yield of 2.10%. The shares trade for 3.6 times tangible book value, according to Thomson Reuters Bank Insight, and for 17.2 times the consensus 2014 earnings estimate of $3.43. The consensus 2015 EPS estimate is $3.87. Those valuation ratios are rather high when compared to most other large-cap banks, underlining the greater value investors place on a bank that focus on institutional asset management and custody services. Northern Trust hasn't been facing the mortgage overhang many other banks have been suffering from.
M&T Bank (MTB) of Buffalo, N.Y., is the second-worst performer, with a total return of 21% this year through Wednesday's close at $115.95. The shares trade for 2.4 times tangible book value, and for 11.6 times the consensus 2014 EPS estimate of $8.49. The consensus 2015 EPS estimate is $9.40. Based on a 70-cent quarterly payout, the shares have a dividend yield of 2.41%. M&T is a strong performer, with a return on average tangible common equity of 18.72% this year, following ROTCE ranging from 18.09% to 18.56% from 2010 through 2012, according to Thomson Reuters Bank Insight. The stock may have trailed the sector this year because of the long delay to the expected completion of M&T's acquisition of Hudson City Bancorp (HCBK) of Paramus, N.J., in a deal originally valued at $3.7 billion in cash and stock, when it was announced in August 2012.
The merger was expected to be completed during the second quarter, but the two companies in April announced that the time needed to gain regulatory approval of the deal would be "extended substantially," because M&T had "learned that the Federal Reserve [had] identified certain regulatory concerns with M&T's procedures, systems and processes relating to M&T's Bank Secrecy Act and anti-money-laundering compliance program."