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HP's Death Is Not Greatly Exaggerated

NEW YORK ( TheStreet) --

When I sent Hewlett-Packard Needs to Stop Selling Computers over for publication last week, I thought I had just submitted the most straightforward, cogent and clear article of my career.

Financial media gold.

Based on a small, most likely non-representative cross-section of response, it appears I was wrong. A few tortured souls didn't understand what I was saying. It would have been fine to consider my opinions farcical and inaccurate, but to not even comprehend them is an entirely different matter.

A classic case of denial and psychological filtering -- pure rationalization.

The evidence is there. Investors, not to mention key executives at companies, could easily see for themselves the pending death at outfits such as Hewlett-Packard (HPQ - Get Report). It's all about acknowledging, not distorting, present-day reality and stepping out of your comfort zone to objectively vision the future based on what we know about the past.

I explain the logic of the Kodak (KODK) to HP and Blackberry (BBRY - Get Report) to HP comparisons in the video.

But there's another, even more compelling way to consider HP's situation and the response to it.

Often, when a consumer electronics company that also does enterprise business starts to decay before our eyes, ardent bulls of that company begin to shift focus off of the consumer failing, arguing that strength with corporate customers will keep said company alive.

It happened, memorably, with Blackberry. The artist formerly known as RIM's supporters touted the Blackberry security advantage with businesses. There was no way IT departments would let something like Apple's (AAPL) iOS in, no matter how badly employees demanded it through their words and actions.

It's happening now with Microsoft (MSFT - Get Report). As it dies a painfully obvious death with the consumer, we're told by bulls there's no way Apple will overtake Microsoft in enterprise. I mean it costs too much money to unwind all of that Windows and Office infrastructure so it simply can't happen!

Do an intellectual dig into that common defense. You'll see just how sorry it is. It's not the merits of Microsoft products that will keep them running at businesses, it's simply because they're so unwieldy and weaved into an operation, it's apparently "impossible" to unwind the apparatus. They've been left behind in such entrenched fashion, they've become more of a headache you can't get rid of than an asset.

We can call this Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer executing the George Constanza business strategy:

HP bulls argue you don't understand the company's business if you claim it will die without massive change. Like BBRY and MSFT bulls, they point to enterprise services and solutions. But they miss two important points.
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