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Lagging Obamacare Sign-Up Is a Giant Pain for HMOs

Value Level: Price at which to enter a GTC limit order to buy on weakness. The letters mean; W-weekly, M-monthly, Q-quarterly, S-semiannual and A-annual.

Pivot: A level between a value level and risky level that should be a magnet during the time frame noted.

Risky Level: Price at which to enter a GTC limit order to sell on strength.

Aetna (AET - Get Report) ($63.88 vs $63.79 on Oct. 22) traded as low as $60.33 on Oct. 29 and is currently positioned just below its 50-day SMA at $64.34. Buy-and-trade investors could have bought Aetna at my semiannual value level at $60.96 on Oct. 29. My annual pivot is $62.77 with a quarterly risky level at $65.82.

Centene (CNC) ($57.99 vs. $65.92 on Oct. 22) set a multi-year high at $67.84 on Oct. 22. Buy-and-trade investors could have sold this stock at my weekly risky level at $67.64 before the stock plunged 12% from the Oct. 22 close to the Nov. 13 close. My semiannual value level is $50.96 with a monthly risky level at $61.89.

CNO Financial Group (CNO) ($16.47 vs. $15.04 on Oct. 22) set a new multi-year high at $16.47 on Wednesday. My quarterly value level is $15.50 with a monthly pivot at $16.06. This is the best performing stock over the last 12 months and since Oct. 22. CNO financial is the holding company for Bankers Life, Colonial Penn and Conseco Insurance. Of these, Bankers Life markets and distributes health and life insurance and annuities to the middle-income senior market, which is a major segment of Obamacare.

Health Net (HNT) ($27.98 vs. $31.03 on Oct. 22) broke below its 200-day SMA at $30.15 on Thursday trading down to a day's low at $25.40. This stock was downgraded to hold from buy according to My quarterly value level is $25.04 with a weekly pivot at $28.29 and annual risky level at $32.54.

Humana (HUM - Get Report) ($96.57 vs. $92.82 on Oct. 22) traded down to $90.19 on Oct. 21 then as high as $91.84 on Nov. 6. My annual value level is $91.58 and a monthly risky level at $102.71.
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