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How to Buy Amazon, Priceline and Limit Downside Risk


                                                What If You Don't Already Own Amazon or Priceline.com?

First of all, be sure you want to own these companies. Amazon sells at dizzying PE ratios because the investment community sees it as a play on skyrocketing revenues, like the extra revenues Amazon should experience from its new service through the U.S. Postal Service that offers delivery of what was purchased on Sundays. Jeff Bezos and his team have an impressive track record of lucrative innovations and this one is no exception.

Priceline.com is selling for around 22 times forward earnings or a 1-year forward PE ratio of 22. That sounds very expensive compared to Microsoft (MSFT) but if you compare how the stock of each has performed you clearly see investors prefer Priceline.

You can buy a mini-call option on both Amazon and Priceline and at the same time sell a mini-put option at the same strike price. Make sure the expiration dates on these mini option contracts go out far enough into the future so you have a better chance of seeing the call go up in price while the put you sold hopefully drops in value.

Some investors call this strategy a "synthetic long", and it's designed to let an investor or trader participate in the upside potential without committing a big chunk of your investment money. You can set up a trailing stop alert for Amazon and Priceline to help you stay focused that the underlying stock price is heading the right direction.

The discipline of a trailing stop is akin to the discipline of position sizing. Both are risk management strategies that are designed to prevent catastrophic losses while giving investors a fighting chance of experiencing some big winners.

Ask your brokerage firm about using mini option contracts for synthetic longs or,with mini put options, as a strategy that protects you if the stock or long-term call you own suddenly plummets in price.

Even if you just want to buy some shares of the high-priced stocks which includes Google (GOOG) use a trailing stop monitoring and alert system that lets you know at the end of each trading day how close you are to the trailing stop loss percentage or dollar amount you've chosen for each holding.

Remember, a trailing stop is a huge help in making sure you lose just a little bit when you're wrong about the direction of an investment you're buying. Yet most of us face two big problems as traders and investors:

  1. When to cut our losses short...
  2. How far to let our winners soar before taking our profits.

That's why you need a way of pegging assets to their highest price during the period you've owned it. That's precisely what a trailing stop loss accomplishes. By using trailing stop loss alerts on the stocks you buy from the time you buy them, you can keep your emotions out of your way, predetermine what an unacceptable loss is for you, and look forward to letting your winners soar before capturing your profits.

Disclosure: At the time of the publication of this article the author was long GOOG and MSFT.

Follow @m8a2r1 at https://twitter.com/m8a2r1





Marc Courtenay is the founder and owner of Advanced Investor Technologies, LLC, as well as the publisher and editor of www.ChecktheMarkets.com.

Courtenay holds a Master's of Science degree in Psychology from California Polytechnic State University, and is a former senior vice-president of Investments for two major brokerage firms. He's been a fiercely independent investment "investigator" and a consulting contributor to the investment publishing world for over 30 years. In addition to his role as an investment publisher and analyst, he serves as a marketing consultant to the investment media industries.

In his role as a financial editor, he specializes in unique investment strategies, overlooked stock investments, energy and resource companies, precious metals, emerging growth companies, the prudent use of option strategies,real estate related opportunities,wealth preservation, money-saving offers, risk management, tax issues, as well as "the psychology of investing". Because of his training and background in Clinical Counseling and Psychology, he enjoys writing about investor behavior, the ¿herd mentality, how to turn investment mistakes into investment breakthroughs and the stock market's behavioral trends and patterns.
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