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Consider These Dow Components for Your Stock Allocation

Forecast 1-Year Return: Stocks with a red number are projected to decline by that percentage over the next 12 months. Stocks with a black number in the table are projected to move higher by that percentage over the next 12 months.

Value Level: Price at which to enter a GTC limit order to buy on weakness. The letters mean; W-weekly, M-monthly, Q-quarterly, S-semiannual and A-annual.

Pivot: A level between a value level and risky level that should be a magnet during the time frame noted.

Risky Level: Price at which to enter a GTC limit order to sell on strength.

General Electric ($27.05) set a multi-year high at $27.19 on Nov. 7. This stock has a positive but overbought weekly chart profile with a monthly value level at $24.69 with a semiannual pivot at $26.68 and quarterly risky level at $28.47.

Home Depot (HD) ($76.18) set its multi-year high at $81.56 back on May 22. The stock has been moving sideways to down since then and is above its 50-day and 200-day SMAs at $75.73 and $74.51. My semiannual value level at $74.17 held at the second half 2013 on Sept. 6. This week's risky level is $76.88.

IBM ($183.07) has been below its 200-day SMA since July 19 and traded to a 2013 low at $172.57 on Oct. 17. IBM is the only undervalued Dow component and it stayed below its 50-day SMA at $183.80 on Tuesday. My annual value level is $171.70 with a monthly risky level at $184.92 and the 200-day SMA at $196.21.

Coca Cola ($39.88) has been trading back and forth around its 200-day SMA at $39.81 since Oct. 28 after rebounding from a second half 2013 low at $36.83 on Oct. 7. My weekly value level is $39.15 with a monthly pivot at $40.87 and quarterly risky level at $42.74.

McDonalds (MCD) ($97.66) has been trading back and forth around its 200-day SMA at $97.88 since August 15 and its second half 2013 low is $93.14 set on Oct. 9. My weekly value is $94.81 with a semiannual pivot at $98.47 and annual risky level at $99.38.
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