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Western Refining (WNR) Marked As A Barbarian At The Gate

Editor's Note: Any reference to TheStreet Ratings and its underlying recommendation does not reflect the opinion of TheStreet, Inc. or any of its contributors including Jim Cramer or Stephanie Link.

Trade-Ideas LLC identified Western Refining (WNR) as a "barbarian at the gate" (strong stocks crossing above resistance with today's range greater than 200%) candidate. In addition to specific proprietary factors, Trade-Ideas identified Western Refining as such a stock due to the following factors:

  • WNR has an average dollar-volume (as measured by average daily share volume multiplied by share price) of $61.0 million.
  • WNR has traded 767,289 shares today.
  • WNR traded in a range 290.7% of the normal price range with a price range of $3.42.
  • WNR traded above its daily resistance level (quality: 235 days, meaning that the stock is crossing a resistance level set by the last 235 calendar days. The resistance price is defined by the Price - $0.01 at the time of the signal).

Stocks matching the 'Barbarian at the Gate' criteria are worthwhile stocks to watch for a variety of factors including historical back testing and volatility. Trade-Ideas targets these opportunities because the stock is exhibiting an unusual behavior while displaying positive price action. In this case, the stock crossed an important inflection point; namely, 'resistance' while at the same time the range of the stock's movement in price is more than twice its normal size. This large range foreshadows a possible continuation as the stock moves higher.

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More details on WNR:

Western Refining, Inc. operates as an independent crude oil refiner and marketer of refined products. It operates in three segments: Refining, Wholesale, and Retail. The stock currently has a dividend yield of 2.8%. WNR has a PE ratio of 6.8. Currently there are 3 analysts that rate Western Refining a buy, no analysts rate it a sell, and 6 rate it a hold.

The average volume for Western Refining has been 1.2 million shares per day over the past 30 days. The stock has a beta of 2.15 and a short float of 34.2% with 11.53 days to cover. Shares are up 13.1% year to date as of the close of trading on Friday.

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TheStreetRatings.com Analysis:

TheStreet Quant Ratings rates Western Refining as a buy. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its revenue growth, notable return on equity, attractive valuation levels, increase in stock price during the past year and compelling growth in net income. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows weak operating cash flow.

Highlights from the ratings report include:

  • WNR's revenue growth has slightly outpaced the industry average of 5.5%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues slightly increased by 0.1%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share.
  • The company's current return on equity greatly increased when compared to its ROE from the same quarter one year prior. This is a signal of significant strength within the corporation. Compared to other companies in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry and the overall market, WESTERN REFINING INC's return on equity significantly exceeds that of both the industry average and the S&P 500.
  • Compared to where it was a year ago today, the stock is now trading at a higher level, reflecting both the market's overall trend during that period and the fact that the company's earnings growth has been robust. Looking ahead, unless broad bear market conditions prevail, we still see more upside potential for this stock, despite the fact that it has already risen over the past year.
  • The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The net income increased by 699.4% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $6.30 million to $50.34 million.

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