Ford now hopes to have 5% of the Chinese market share by the end of 2013, besting the 3.2% share it held at the end of 2012 and the 2.5% share at the end of 2011.
China boasts plenty opportunity as the enormous population of roughly 1.35 billion begins to prosper from the country's strong growth and increasing wealth effect. Consider that for every 1,000 American citizens, about 800 have their own vehicle. Now compare this to China's 58 vehicle owners per 1,000 people and the growth potential becomes rather eye-opening. Ford's year-to-date sales in China tallied in at 674,849, up a whopping 51% from the same period last year. Also, the company's imported car sales are up 254% in the first three quarters of 2013, compared to 2012's first three quarters. While China's attributions to the bottom line are small right now, over time it will become a much bigger contributor as Ford gains market share and increases production.
Turning to Europe, the region has finally exited its recessionary status, and even countries like Spain, one of the worst economies, has ended its recession skid.
As the continent rebounds, so does Ford, which saw its losses cut in half to $228 million from the third quarter of 2012. Mulally's goal to be at break-even operation in Europe near mid-decade was trumped by CFO Bob Shanks, who said, "I think we can turn a profit -- not just break even -- by 2015." As the company goes from losses to break even, and break even to profits, the share price will also move up. While the pieces are being put in place for consistent success on the international front, the big risk all lies within the hands of the global economy. If the setback is small, then the automaker will likely muddle along until economic activity regains momentum. But, if China slows, Europe falls back into a recession, and U.S. GDP flatlines, then investors might as well hit the exits because Ford could be set back for years. Of course, this could be said for many, if not most companies too.
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Fortunately though, the global recovery has been moving slowly and steadily in what appears to be the right direction. Postponing any economic collapse, Ford should be a great intermediate-term, and an even better long-term, investment.
-- Written by Bret Kenwell in Petoskey, Mich.