This Day On The Street
Continue to site right-arrow
ADVERTISEMENT
This account is pending registration confirmation. Please click on the link within the confirmation email previously sent you to complete registration.
Need a new registration confirmation email? Click here
Cramer's Action Alerts PLUS - See his portfolio and get alerts BEFORE every trade. Learn more NOW!

[video] Dicker: Oil Goes Down, Stocks Go Up

NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- I was talking to Stephanie Link today about oil and the disconnects that have emerged in the last several weeks.

The first important one has been the continued melt-down of domestic oil prices, down more than 9% from the highs of the summer, accompanied by a consistent melt-up of stocks.

This hasn't happened for as consistent a period of time for more than five years -- and it is a fascinating turnaround that helps both consumers and industrial interests here at home.

Much of the downdraft in U.S. crude prices has been attributable to the decline of geopolitical pressures in Syria and Iran, and the increasing supply of crude coming from the shale plays of the Bakken, Eagle Ford and Permian basin.

But another disconnect that is striking is with the crude benchmarks in Europe and globally, still well above $100 a barrel and staying strong. That's because of increasingly good news from Europe and the emerging markets in Asia, which have been registering better-than-expected growth numbers in manufacturing growth.

Will U.S. crude supply continue to bring global prices down, or will the recovering markets globally continue to push crude higher and trump the increases in production?

One industry that's likely to benefit, no matter which happens are the refiners, which can clear better margins for making gasoline and diesel fuel, even if the prices for gasoline and diesel are decreasing.

That makes refinery stocks my top pick for the fourth quarter of 2013.

I talk more about the crude disconnects with Stephanie in the video above.

At the time of publication the author had a position in TSO.

This article was written by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.

Dan Dicker has been a floor trader at the New York Mercantile Exchange with more than 25 years of oil trading experience. He is a licensed commodities trade adviser.

 

Dan is currently President of MercBloc LLC, a wealth management firm and is the author of "Oil's Endless Bid," published in March of 2011 by John Wiley and Sons.

 

Dan Dicker has appeared as an energy analyst since 2002 with all the major financial news networks. He has lent his expertise in hundreds of live radio and television broadcasts on CNBC, Bloomberg US and UK and CNNfn.

 

Dan obtained a bachelor of arts degree from the State University of New York at Stony Brook in 1982.

Check Out Our Best Services for Investors

Action Alerts PLUS

Portfolio Manager Jim Cramer and Director of Research Jack Mohr reveal their investment tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.

Product Features:
  • $2.5+ million portfolio
  • Large-cap and dividend focus
  • Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
Quant Ratings

Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.

Product Features:
  • Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
  • Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
  • A custom stock screener
Stocks Under $10

David Peltier uncovers low dollar stocks with serious upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.

Product Features:
  • Model portfolio
  • Stocks trading below $10
  • Intraday trade alerts
14-Days Free
Try it NOW
Only $9.95
Try it NOW
14-Days Free
Try it NOW

Check Out Our Best Services for Investors

Dividend Stock Advisor

David Peltier identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.

Product Features:
  • Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
  • Updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Trifecta Stocks

Every recommendation goes through 3 layers of intense scrutiny—quantitative, fundamental and technical analysis—to maximize profit potential and minimize risk.

Product Features:
  • Model Portfolio
  • Intra Day Trade alerts
  • Access to Quant Ratings
Options Profits

Our options trading pros provide over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.

Product Features:
  • Actionable options commentary and news
  • Real-time trading community
Try it NOW
Try it NOW
Try it NOW
To begin commenting right away, you can log in below using your Disqus, Facebook, Twitter, OpenID or Yahoo login credentials. Alternatively, you can post a comment as a "guest" just by entering an email address. Your use of the commenting tool is subject to multiple terms of service/use and privacy policies - see here for more details.
Submit an article to us!
SYM TRADE IT LAST %CHG
AAPL $129.09 0.00%
FB $79.75 0.00%
GOOG $571.34 0.00%
TSLA $197.32 0.00%
YHOO $44.11 0.00%

Markets

DOW 18,288.63 +155.93 0.86%
S&P 500 2,117.39 +12.89 0.61%
NASDAQ 5,008.0960 +44.5690 0.90%

Partners Compare Online Brokers

Free Reports

Free Newsletters from TheStreet

My Subscriptions:

After the Bell

Before the Bell

Booyah! Newsletter

Midday Bell

TheStreet Top 10 Stories

Winners & Losers

Register for Newsletters
Top Rated Stocks Top Rated Funds Top Rated ETFs