Last up is
), a stock that's showing traders a textbook reversal pattern right now. Financial sector stocks have benefitted in a big way from this rally all the way up. After all, in many ways, they're a lot like a leveraged bet on stocks. But a head and shoulders top pattern is decoupling JPM's price action from that of the broad market this month.
The head and shoulders pattern is a bearish reversal setup that indicates exhaustion among buyers. It's formed by two swing highs that top out around the same level (the shoulders), separated by a bigger peak called the head; the sell signal comes on the breakdown below the pattern's "neckline" level, which is right above $50 at the moment for JPM. That's significant for a couple of reasons: It's a round number that's sure to get more attention from investors, and it's a price that acted as resistance on the way up back in March.
If you think that the head and shoulders is too popular to be worth trading, the research suggests otherwise: a recent academic study conducted by the
Federal Reserve Board of New York
found that the results of 10,000 computer-simulated head-and-shoulders trades resulted in "profits [that] would have been both statistically and economically significant." If you decide to short JPM on a move below $50, I'd still recommend keeping a protective stop at $54.
To see this week's trades in action, check out the
Technical Setups for the Week portfolio
-- Written by Jonas Elmerraji in Baltimore.
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