NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- The discount retailers are in the retail-wholesale sector, which is one of the five of 16 sectors that I gave an overweight rating on Tuesday in Cisco Joins List of 11 Buy-Rated Dow Stocks as Fundamentals Deteriorate. On June 3 I wrote, Discount Retailers Track Slow Consumer Spending where I profiled nine buy-rated discount retailers. Today these nine stocks remain buy-rated and seven have traded higher since the end of May.
The headliner this week just as it was three months ago is Dollar General (DG) which reported quarterly earnings pre-market on Wednesday. This discounter beat EPS estimates by 3 cents earning 77 cents a share. The stock traded to a new multi-year high at $57.42 despite a cautious outlook.
Fundamentally, the stock market remains under a ValuEngine valuation warning with 74.6% of all stocks overvalued, and with 38.0% overvalued by 20% or more. We show 15 of 16 sectors overvalued, 13 by double-digit percentages, with four overvalued by more than 20%. The retail-wholesale sector is overvalued by 19.3%.
Seven of the nine discount retailers rose by 1.7% to 14.9% since the end of May with two declining by 2.6% and 8.6%. Eight of nine are overvalued but by 18.8% or less. At the end of May all nine stocks were above their 200-day SMAs and today two are below on the risk of a reversion to the mean.
Reading the TableOV/UN Valued: Stocks with a red number are undervalued by this percentage. Those with a black number are overvalued by that percentage according to ValuEngine. VE Rating: A "1-engine" rating is a strong sell, a "2-engine" rating is a sell, a "3-engine" rating is a hold, a "4-engine" rating is a buy and a "5-engine" rating is a strong buy. Last 12-Month Return (%): Stocks with a red number declined by that percentage over the last 12 months. Stocks with a black number increased by that percentage. Forecast 1-Year Return: Stocks with a red number are projected to decline by that percentage over the next 12 months. Stocks with a black number in the table are projected to move higher by that percentage over the next 12 months. Value Level: Price at which to enter a GTC limit order to buy on weakness. The letters mean; W-weekly, M-monthly, Q-quarterly, S-semiannual and A-annual. Pivot: A level between a value level and risky level that should be a magnet during the time frame noted. Risky Level: Price at which to enter a GTC limit order to sell on strength.
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