NEW YORK (
) -- I have mentioned in various articles this week that investors have been reallocating funds to European markets and out of both emerging and U.S. markets due to the relative stability of European monetary policy.
In the charts presented below I will show the current price action of European assets and the risks responsible for the money flow out of both U.S. and developing economies.
The first chart below is of the euro over the dollar. The euro broke to new highs Tuesday vs. the greenback, moving to more than the 1.34 area. This level has only been crossed twice this year.
An exchange-traded fund that closely tracks the movements of the euro is the
CurrencyShares Euro Trust
Investors have sold dollars due to uncertainty surrounding the future of U.S. monetary policy. This has created a sort of paradox as investors have sold both Treasuries (thus increasing interest rates)
dollars in order to avoid incorrectly guessing the
next action. As rates rise, the dollar is expected to become a more attractive investment, but the uncertainty over monetary policy is keeping money on the sidelines.
As long as the future of U.S. monetary policy remains uncertain, the relative certainty and stability seen in Europe should keep the euro moving higher.
The next chart is of the Deutscher Aktien Index, or DAX, which is Germany's blue-chip stock index. The DAX has been a strong performer over the past year and is currently trading at record highs.
An ETF that closely tracks the price movement of the DAX is
iShares MSCI Germany Index
As U.S. equity indices have corrected lower, and funds have flowed out of emerging markets, strong European equity markets have remained at elevated levels.
Strong economic data have bolstered the argument that European economies have largely reached a bottom with regards to economic contraction. This has improved investor sentiment and been a cause for continued money flow into equities.
Although the DAX has traded within a range for the past month, there are no signs of a major correction. If the index does decline, it should go no lower than the 8000 level.