This Day On The Street
Continue to site right-arrow
ADVERTISEMENT
This account is pending registration confirmation. Please click on the link within the confirmation email previously sent you to complete registration.
Need a new registration confirmation email? Click here
TheStreet Open House

An Income Portfolio That Doesn't Stink

Stocks in this article: BBNBSJEDBLDSLPFNVCSH

By John Gerard Lewis

rose smell

At some point or another, every investment class stinks. (Not necessarily the one you took in college, although that one might have stunk, too. We’re talking here about asset, not instructional, classes.)

The stinky asset class du jour is bonds, as evidenced by the $80 billion outflow from bond mutual funds in June. Declarations of one sort or another by legions of bigwigs, including Ben Bernanke and Warren Buffett (“They’re terrible investments now”), caused and then exacerbated that recent disaster.

This is not good news for people who planned on living off their nest eggs by now. There’s almost no interest income to be had when 10-year Treasuries are in the mid-2% range (and even that’s up from a closing low of 1.66% on May 2). And when rates really begin to consistently rise over time, investors’ bond holdings will correspondingly decline in price. That makes a lousy situation lousier.

Alas, today is the inverse of the early 1980s, whence began a 30-year bull run in bonds. The inflation-choking, super high interest rate policy of then-Fed Chairman Paul Volcker inch-by-inch, year-by-year, gave way to lower and lower rates, a lovely balance of rising bond prices and delightfully satisfactory yields. Those were the salad days, and we thought they’d never end.

The folks who want sufficient income with capital preservation are faced with few obvious investment strategies today. Traditional income vehicles simply are not cooperating. Bank certificate of deposits stink. Treasurys stink. Ginnie Maes stink. Corporate bonds stink. Everything stinks.

And, of course, the “safer” an investment – government-guaranteed, for instance – the lower is its yield. So it stinks even more. In today’s world, that means it may well lag the inflation rate, unless you’re counting on inflation to stay below 2% to 3% for the duration of your investment. That’s not a likely prospect over the next 5 to 10 years, so is a “safe” investment really a safe investment?

Well, I guess it is if your definition of “safe” embraces a willingness to let inflation insidiously eat away at your principal. Otherwise, maybe you’re as well off to bury your moola in the backyard. At least you’d be able to go out in the dead of night and run your fingers through it.

But here’s another idea, and it won’t get your hands dirty: Consider pairing a high-yield, well-managed bond allocation with a high-yield, short-target-maturity bond allocation, as follows (all yields and NAVs as of 7/15/13):

DoubleLine Income Solutions Fund (DSL) – 16% Allocation

This is star bond manager Jeffrey Gundlach’s latest closed-end fund offering. It yields about 8% and sells at just a slight premium (0.13%) to its underlying assets. Good value and high yield.

DoubleLine Opportunistic Credit Fund (DBL) – 15% Allocation

Mr. Gundlach’s somewhat older closed-end fund also yields about 8%, although it sells at a 7.72% premium to net asset value (NAV). Therefore, it’s not quite the bargain that DSL is. But still, it’s co-managed by Jeffrey Gundlach.

Pimco Income Strategy II Fund (PFN) – 15% Allocation

Pimco has a mind-boggling number of fixed-income offerings, all, at least by reputation, influenced by the philosophies of legendary “bond king” Bill Gross. PFN is the pick here, though, because it yields about 9.2% while selling at roughly 2% below NAV. And it’s personally managed by Mr. Gross.

BlackRock Build America Bond Trust Fund (BBN) – 4% Allocation

BBN invests in Build America Bonds, taxable municipal securities issued by state and local governments to finance capital projects. The fund yields around 7.7% and sells at an attractive discount of about 6.6% to NAV.

Now, all of the above funds have intrinsic risks, resulting from conventional factors like credit quality, interest-rate (future increases) and valuation (premium to NAV). This is a real concern at this time, with rates seeming to have just one way to go (that would be “up”) over the intermediate and long term. That’s why investors should consider softening any such potential blows by allocating 50% of the portfolio to shorter-term bonds that are less sensitive to rate risk, as follows:

Guggenheim BulletShares 2014 High Yield Corporate Bond Fund (BSJE) – 50% Allocation

Here we have a target-maturity closed-end fund that matures in December 2014 and yields over 3%. Apart from its obvious yield advantage over conventional short-term mutual or exchange-traded funds, it offers the additional benefit of date-certain net asset protection. BSJE is scheduled to terminate on Dec. 31, 2014, meaning that the fund’s net assets (which will theoretically approximate the aggregate principal value of its holdings) will be distributed to shareholders at that time. Therefore, despite its high-yield nature, if interest rates were to soar before the end of 2014, the negative effect on this fund’s net asset value should increasingly lessen as the maturity date approaches.

The aim of composing half of the portfolio with BSJE is to offset the intrinsic higher risk of the other, more aggressive, 50%. One might alternatively stack this stabilizing “end of the barbell” with near-cash securities, like the Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond Index (VCSH), but BSJE offers a much better yield. As maturity gets closer, this 50% allocation would be systematically rolled over into 2015 or 2016 target-date funds.

We are buying insurance with this half of the portfolio, and, of course, there are no guarantees. But it’s not like we’re insuring the worst investors of all time. We are insuring the world’s two famous bond investors in Gross and Gundlach.

The weighted average yield of this portfolio is about 7%. At a time when a satisfactory return in an income portfolio is very hard to obtain, this appears to be a reasonable way to do so.

Photo Credit: moshelle_green

Disclosure: Prices and yields quoted are current as of July 15, 2013. The investments discussed are held in client accounts as of June 30, 2013. These investments may or may not be currently held in client accounts. Certain information contained in this article is based upon forward-looking statements, information and opinions, including descriptions of anticipated market changes and expectations of future activity. The manager believes that such statements, information and opinions are based upon reasonable estimates and assumptions. However, forward-looking statements, information and opinions are inherently uncertain and actual events or results may differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking statements. Therefore, undue reliance should not be placed on such forward-looking statements, information and opinions.

John Gerard Lewis

John Gerard Lewis

I am John Gerard Lewis, a registered investment adviser representative based in Olathe, KS, and the Founder and President of

null

Select the service that is right for you!

COMPARE ALL SERVICES
Action Alerts PLUS
Try it NOW

Jim Cramer and Stephanie Link actively manage a real portfolio and reveal their money management tactics while giving advanced notice before every trade.

Product Features:
  • $2.5+ million portfolio
  • Large-cap and dividend focus
  • Intraday trade alerts from Cramer
  • Weekly roundups
TheStreet Quant Ratings
Try it NOW
Only $49.95/yr

Access the tool that DOMINATES the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500.

Product Features:
  • Buy, hold, or sell recommendations for over 4,300 stocks
  • Unlimited research reports on your favorite stocks
  • A custom stock screener
  • Upgrade/downgrade alerts
Stocks Under $10
Try it NOW

David Peltier, uncovers low dollar stocks with extraordinary upside potential that are flying under Wall Street's radar.

Product Features:
  • Model portfolio
  • Stocks trading below $10
  • Intraday trade alerts
  • Weekly roundups
Dividend Stock Advisor
Try it NOW

Jim Cramer's protege, David Peltier, identifies the best of breed dividend stocks that will pay a reliable AND significant income stream.

Product Features:
  • Diversified model portfolio of dividend stocks
  • Alerts when market news affect the portfolio
  • Bi-weekly updates with exact steps to take - BUY, HOLD, SELL
Real Money Pro
Try it NOW

All of Real Money, plus 15 more of Wall Street's sharpest minds delivering actionable trading ideas, a comprehensive look at the market, and fundamental and technical analysis.

Product Features:
  • Real Money + Doug Kass Plus 15 more Wall Street Pros
  • Intraday commentary & news
  • Ultra-actionable trading ideas
Options Profits
Try it NOW

Our options trading pros provide daily market commentary and over 100 monthly option trading ideas and strategies to help you become a well-seasoned trader.

Product Features:
  • 100+ monthly options trading ideas
  • Actionable options commentary & news
  • Real-time trading community
  • Options TV
To begin commenting right away, you can log in below using your Disqus, Facebook, Twitter, OpenID or Yahoo login credentials. Alternatively, you can post a comment as a "guest" just by entering an email address. Your use of the commenting tool is subject to multiple terms of service/use and privacy policies - see here for more details.
Submit an article to us!
DOW 16,805.41 +127.51 0.76%
S&P 500 1,964.58 +13.76 0.71%
NASDAQ 4,483.7150 +30.9230 0.69%

Brokerage Partners

Rates from Bankrate.com

  • Mortgage
  • Credit Cards
  • Auto

Free Newsletters from TheStreet

My Subscriptions:

After the Bell

Before the Bell

Booyah! Newsletter

Midday Bell

TheStreet Top 10 Stories

Winners & Losers

Register for Newsletters
Top Rated Stocks Top Rated Funds Top Rated ETFs