July 18, 2013
Comerica Bank's Texas Economic Activity Index fell slightly in May, declining 0.1 percentage points to a level of 103.6. The May reading is 32 points, or 45 percent, above the index cyclical low of 71.5. The index averaged 102 points for all of 2012, 10 points above the average for full-year 2011. No revisions were made to April's index reading of 103.7.
"Our Texas Index continues to level out in 2013. Some components of the index, notably, payroll employment, have improved through the first five months of the year. However, other components, such as hotel occupancy, residential building permits and the rotary rig count have either stabilized or dipped so far in 2013. The flattening of the index is consistent with a step down in the rate of economic growth for
in mid-2013. This step down in economic growth will be felt not only in
but in most other states as well, and reflected in weak U.S. GDP growth through the second quarter of this year," said
, Chief Economist at Comerica Bank. "I expect the Texas Index to resume its upward trajectory as data comes in for the second half of the year."
The Texas Economic Activity Index consists of seven variables, as follows: nonfarm payrolls, exports, sales tax revenues, hotel occupancy rates, continuing claims for unemployment insurance, building permits and Baker Hughes rotary rig count. All data are seasonally adjusted, as necessary, and indexed to a base year of 2008. Nominal values have been converted to constant dollar values. Index levels are expressed in terms of three-month moving averages.
Comerica Bank is the commercial banking subsidiary of Comerica Incorporated (NYSE: CMA), the largest commercial bank headquartered in
, strategically aligned by three business segments: The Business Bank, The Retail Bank, and Wealth Management. Comerica focuses on relationships, and helping people and businesses be successful. In addition to 136 banking centers in
, Comerica Bank locations can be found in
, with select businesses operating in several other states, as well as in
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SOURCE Comerica Bank