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Regulators Double Basel III Capital Requirement (Update 1)

Most of the media coverage of the implementation of Basel III has focused on the Tier 1 common equity ratio, which is a risk-based capital ratio.

Risk-based means that a bank's assets are weighted by perceived risk. For example, cash has a zero risk weighting. Loans have risk-weightings based on loan-to-value ratios and whether or not the payments are current. Bonds have risk-weightings based in part on ratings.

The minimum Tier 1 common equity ratio for large banks is 7% under Basel III, with additional requirements for "globally systemically important financial institutions," or GSIFIs. Based on determinations by the Basel Committee, the additional capital surcharges for Citigroup (C - Get Report) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM - Get Report) are 2.5%, so each of these banks has a fully phased-in minimum Basel III Tier 1 common equity ratio requirement of 9.5%.

For Bank of America (BAC - Get Report) and Wells Fargo (WFC - Get Report), the surcharge is 1%, for fully phased in Basel III Tier 1 common equity ratio requirements of 8.0% for each company.

Citigroup's estimated Basel III Tier 1 common equity ratio was 9.3% as of March 31, while JPMorgan's estimated ratio was 8.9%, putting both companies close to compliance, years in advance of January 2019, when the rules will be fully implemented.

Bank of America and Wells Fargo were already in compliance with their Basel III Tier 1 common equity requirements, with respective estimated March 31 ratios of 9.42% and 8.39%.

The Leverage Ratio Is Different

The Tier 1 leverage ratio is not risk-weighted, and analysts differ on how much of an effect the FDIC's move will have on the big banks.

According to KBW analyst Brian Kleinhanzl, among eight of the nation's largest banks, only Wells Fargo had an estimated supplementary Basel III Tier 1 leverage ratio above 6% as of March 31. Of course, at that time, it wasn't yet known that the large holding companies would be required to maintain Tier 1 leverage ratios of 5%, with their bank subsidiaries facing the 6% requirement.

According to Kleinhanzl, Wells Fargo had $23.4 billion in excess capital, based on his firm's estimates. Here are the shortfalls for full compliance with supplementary Basel III Tier 1 leverage requirements, calculated by KBW:
  • Bank of America would need an additional $25.3 billion in Tier 1 capital to achieve full compliance with the FDIC's proposed 6% Basel III supplementary Tier 1 leverage requirement.
  • Citigroup would need an additional $38.9 billion in Tier 1 capital.
  • JPMorgan Chase would need $48.9 billion in additional Tier 1 capital.
  • Bank of New York Mellon (BK) would need $8.0 billion in additional Tier 1 capital.
  • Goldman Sachs (GS) would need an additional $18.8 billion.
  • Morgan Stanley (MS - Get Report) would need an additional $25.4 billion.
  • State Street (STT) would need $3.1 billion in additional Tier 1 capital to comply with the FDIC's proposal, according to KBW.

While State Street is not at this point considered an "advanced approach" bank, KBW included the firm in a note to clients on June 21, saying the company could eventually qualify for the supplementary Tier 1 leverage ratio requirement.
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