NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- Two months ago, I wrote a column that expressed my concerns with investing in Argentina. The country's government has exhibited behavior that is unfriendly to business, and that is putting it nicely.
Over the past year and a half, the Argentine government has seized control of the country's largest oil and gas company, YPF (YPF - Get Report), and instituted price controls to combat inflation. Those moves were enough to send many investors looking for greener pastures.
I've owned some pretty green pastures in Argentine farming giant Cresud (CRESY - Get Report), which owns 1.6 million acres of farmland, roughly the size of Vermont, New Hampshire, and Connecticut combined.
Although I rarely move in and out names, I've owned Cresud on a few separate occasions. Last year, when Argentina moved to seize YPF, I avoided taking a new position until the dust settled and the price fell enough to present a large enough margin of safety.Cresud fell from $13 in late March 2012 to less than $7 by early June. That created the margin of safety I required, and I took a new position, which was closed in November after a 20% run-up. By this past April, shares were approaching $10, but something was not quite right, and was the basis for my April column on Argentina. Cresud had declared a fat dividend of 50.4 cents in November that it still had not paid by April. (IRS - Get Report), which alone is worth about $260 million based on IRS' current market cap. Cresud's current market cap is just $342 million. The stock trades at less than nine times 2014 earnings estimates and 62% of book value. The company does have substantial debt of $725 million. Cresud is not for the faint of heart, for sure. It operates in an country where hyper-inflation is a risk and the government is not a friend to business. The company's package of assets, however, is the reason I've owned it in the past and have taken a new position. Buyer beware! At the time of publication, the author was long on Cresud. Follow @JonMHellerCFA This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.
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