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NEW YORK (
) -- The
will have to stop its stimulus eventually, Jim Cramer said Monday on
but this week's Fed meeting will not be the big, bad event that everyone is fearing.
Cramer reminded viewers Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is a student of history and knows all too well the lessons of 1937 when the government thought the Great Depression was over and raised taxes prematurely. That move sent the economy back into recession, he noted, and today's Fed won't make the same mistakes twice.
There's simply not enough evidence that it's 1937 all over again, said Cramer, which is why he expects this week's Fed meeting to result in just more of the same.
Cramer said it's true that the housing market is heating up, but the quick spike in mortgage rates will likely cool things off in a hurry. Home prices are making some homeowners spend more but many more still are not. Unemployment is nowhere near the Fed's target of 6.5% and there simply aren't a lot of construction jobs being formed yet.
Overseas, our allies aren't in great shape either, said Cramer, with Europe still weak, Japan still in question and many emerging markets just in a constant state of flux.
So is now the time to begin withdrawing stimulus or is it 1937 all over again? Cramer said the answer is clear: The Fed needs to stay the course until many of these metrics begin to improve.
Hungry for Restaurant Stocks
There's no denying restaurant stocks are hot this year, Cramer told viewers, which is why he pitted two of the more restaurant chains against one another to see which one is the better investment.
When it comes to
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers
(RRGB - Get Report)
(BLMN - Get Report)
, there's clearly one winner.
Bloomin' Brands, purveyors of Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill, is the larger of the two chains, with 1,471 locations compared to Red Robin's 475 locations. But even with the size difference, when it comes to what the markets are looking for most -- growth -- the two are roughly even, with Red Robin taking a slight lead at 4% growth compared to Bloomin's 2% growth.