NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- School stocks have had a volatile ride in the new millennium, driven mostly by technical momentum, not fundamentals.
Today I am profiling seven school stocks. Three peaked in the April 2004 to June 2004 time frame, one in February 2009, and the other three in April 2010.
These stocks have not traded in sync with the overall market volatility. One bottomed in October 2011, two in July 2012, another in November 2012, and the other three in 2013 between January and April. When stocks are this volatile, trading strategies must be based more heavily on the technicals than on the fundamentals.
School stocks are in the consumer-discretionary sector which is 14.6% overvalued. The school industry is just 6% overvalued, and all of these stocks are rated hold according to ValuEngine.
A factor for these stocks is whether the Senate passes a bill that prevents the doubling of the interest rate on student loans. If rates hold steady, school stocks could have an upside trade due to improving technicals. Reading the Table OV / UN Valued - The stocks with a red number are undervalued by this percentage. Those with a black number are overvalued by that percentage according to ValuEngine. VE Rating - A "1-Engine" rating is a Strong Sell, a "2-Engine" rating is a Sell, a "3-Engine" rating is a Hold, a "4-Engine" rating is a Buy and a "5-Engine" rating is a Strong Buy. Last 12-Month Return (%) - Stocks with a Red number declined by that percentage over the last twelve months. Stocks with a Black number increased by that percentage. Forecast 1-Year Return - Stocks with a Red number are projected to decline by that percentage over the next twelve months. Stocks with a Black number in the Table are projected to move higher by that percentage over the next twelve months. Value Level: is the price at which to enter a GTC Limit Order to buy on weakness. The letters mean; W-Weekly, M-Monthly, Q-Quarterly, S-Semiannual and A- Annual. Pivot: A level between a value level and risky level that should be a magnet during the time frame noted. Risky Level: is the price at which to enter a GTC Limit Order to sell on strength.
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