NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- TheStreet's Gregg Greenberg spoke to Joe Kinahan, chief strategist at TD Ameritrade, about the potential market swings we may encounter in the coming months after a relatively easy rise in stocks over the past four months.
With the recent volatility the market has experienced in the last week, Greenberg wanted to know if we'll continue to see similar price action in the weeks and months ahead. Kinahan believes we will, especially now that rates on the 10-year notes are over 2%.
With yields above 2%, he believes we might see 2.5% rather soon. With the Federal Reserve having a massive influence on all of the markets, "things can get out of whack in a hurry," Kinahan said.
One way to protect against further volatility -- as well as a possible plunge -- would be to purchase protective puts. Kinahan thinks you can let stocks move a bit, but if you go 8% to 10% out-of-the-money, you will be well protected against a significant decline in stocks.Greenberg asked for some possible plays on Tesla (TSLA) and Netflix (NFLX), which have experienced massive volatility of late. While puts work well on a decline, Kinahan also noted that people are likely suffering massive losses on these positions due to "time decay" and stubbornly high stock prices. He added, "the valuations are insane." According to Kinahan, one way to help finance the cost of the put options is to sell some out-of-the-money call spreads. This allows the trader to collect a credit from the call options, which can be used to pay for the debit of the put options. While also helping to finance the cost of the puts, the short call spreads also mitigate risk, since the trader has their maximum loss capped by purchasing higher strike calls while simultaneously selling lower strike calls. In regards to retailers trading high-flying stocks, Kinahan's words of wisdom are simple: Keep it small. He added, "Markets are about making money. Go to Vegas to have fun, get the free drink." -- Written by Bret Kenwell in Petoskey, Mich. .
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